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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 170615 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #75 on: September 21, 2019, 11:20:06 AM »

Already posted.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #76 on: September 25, 2019, 03:33:12 PM »

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/462843-liberty-university-official-to-launch-primary-challenge-to-gops-riggleman

VA-05: Denver Riggleman likely has a primary challenger - Bob Good, a Campbell County Supervisor and fundraiser for Liberty University. This comes after Riggleman was censured by the Rappahannock County GOP for "abandoning party values" - which includes, among other things, officiating a same-sex wedding.
It would be funny if this seat is open for 3 cycles in a row.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #77 on: October 01, 2019, 12:10:23 PM »

MN-1: Feehan in.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #78 on: October 02, 2019, 04:45:58 PM »

Republican Janet Baresi has entered the race in OK-05 against Kendra Horn. Baresi is a former dentist and state school superintendent.
The GOP nominee here is basically 99% likely to be a woman. All 4 major candidates are women.

Once a man jumps in, that number will fall to zero
Fact check: false.

It’s really just simple math. If a dude jumps in, the women are going to split the female Republican vote amongst themselves, but go ahead and doubt me

If voters actually voted based on gender like that, sure.

How naïve to think gender isn’t a factor, especially in a Republican primary
Republicans nominated a woman in WV-03 of all places.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #79 on: October 02, 2019, 04:52:47 PM »
« Edited: October 02, 2019, 05:05:13 PM by Politician »

Republican Janet Baresi has entered the race in OK-05 against Kendra Horn. Baresi is a former dentist and state school superintendent.
The GOP nominee here is basically 99% likely to be a woman. All 4 major candidates are women.

Once a man jumps in, that number will fall to zero
Fact check: false.

It’s really just simple math. If a dude jumps in, the women are going to split the female Republican vote amongst themselves, but go ahead and doubt me

If voters actually voted based on gender like that, sure.

How naïve to think gender isn’t a factor, especially in a Republican primary
Republicans nominated a woman in WV-03 of all places.

She was the ONLY woman running and won the primary with 23% of the vote. Of the 10 Republican women you could have used as your “exceptions to the rule”, you chose the single worst one
Yes, but don't you constantly spout about how misogynistic WV is?

Other "misogynistic" "racist hick" districts such as IN-02, WY-AL, AL-02, TX-12, NY-21, MO-04, NC-05, and WA-05 elected Republican women, it's not just suburbs lol.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #80 on: October 02, 2019, 04:56:00 PM »

Republican Janet Baresi has entered the race in OK-05 against Kendra Horn. Baresi is a former dentist and state school superintendent.
The GOP nominee here is basically 99% likely to be a woman. All 4 major candidates are women.

Once a man jumps in, that number will fall to zero
Fact check: false.

It’s really just simple math. If a dude jumps in, the women are going to split the female Republican vote amongst themselves, but go ahead and doubt me

If voters actually voted based on gender like that, sure.

How naïve to think gender isn’t a factor, especially in a Republican primary
Republicans nominated a woman in WV-03 of all places.

She was the ONLY woman running and won the primary with 23% of the vote. Of the 10 Republican women you could have used as your “exceptions to the rule”, you chose the single worst one
Yes, but don't you constantly spout about how misogynistic WV is?

Other "misogynistic" "racist hick" districts such as IN-02, WY-AL, AL-02, TX-12, NY-21, and WA-05 elected Republican women, it's not just suburbs lol.

That’s cute. You don’t think gender or sexism has anything to do with the fact that less than  10% of the Republican caucus is female
You aren't very good at mathematical probability. If the 4 main GOP candidates are women, there is a 99%+ chance the GOP nominee will be a woman. If 4/5 are women, there is an 70%+ chance the GOP nominee will be a woman.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #81 on: October 02, 2019, 05:09:16 PM »

Who knew that Democrats on this website would be jumping to defend the Republican Party from charges of sexism when <10% of Republican Congress people are women
It's not like 27/40 of the GOP potential nominees in battleground districts are women...
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #82 on: October 04, 2019, 02:52:33 PM »

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-score/2019/10/04/the-first-congressional-television-ad-771260

Lots of other news:
Diabetes advocate Quinn Nystrom challenging Rep. Stauber in MN-8
Fmr. Supernintendo Janet Barresi challenging Rep. Horn in OK-5
Rep. Buck of CO-4 running for re-election despite retirement rumors
Fmr. TX-32 Rep. Sessions running for open TX-17
Newton City Councilman Jake Auchincloss running for open MA-4
Marine Corps veteran Aliscia Andrews challenging Rep. Wexton in VA-10
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #83 on: October 08, 2019, 03:52:38 PM »

Republican challenger to Allred raises $475 thousand.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #84 on: October 09, 2019, 09:27:32 AM »

MT-AL: Kathleen Williams raised $380K, has $627K on hand.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #85 on: October 09, 2019, 01:32:19 PM »

WI-6: Fmr. State Senator Jess King running against Grothman.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #86 on: October 10, 2019, 03:18:06 PM »

OH-14: Joyce picks up a challenger.

https://www.cleveland.com/politics/2019/10/former-naval-pilot-announces-2020-bid-against-dave-joyce.html
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #87 on: October 11, 2019, 03:44:17 PM »

Changes in favor of Democrats:
IA (Ernst): Likely R->Lean R
NC (Tillis): Tilt R->Tossup

Changes in favor of Republicans:
GA-A (Perdue): Lean R->Likely R
GA-B (Isakson): Lean R->Likely R

http://insideelections.com/ratings/senate
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