FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1 (user search)
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  FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1  (Read 2671 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« on: June 11, 2018, 09:02:28 AM »

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2018, 12:49:48 PM »

Senator Sharron Angle approves of this poll.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2018, 01:14:35 PM »

U.S. Senator Connie Mack is also very pleased at the July 2012 poll that found him up 9 points against Nelson.

Kinda like governor Charlie Crist after all those polls showing him beating Scott comfortably early in the race.

And Sen. Charlie Crist who defeated sacrificial lambs in the primary/general in a landslide.

(Poor Charlie Crist)
At least he's a rep now.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2018, 02:29:23 PM »

While I am doubtful that Rick Scott will win, because of the national environment, I still think that people are grossly overestimating how well Nelson will do. It would not surprise me if this race were decided by 2 points or less. Florida is the quintessential example of a tossup state, and the polls here are reflective of that. 
Don't you always predict Democrats will lose or otherwise do badly?
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2018, 02:16:17 PM »

Under few circumstances is a win by either party on the statewide level underwhelming. It is just such a competitive state that even the narrowest edging out is a big win.

When you’ve won your last two elections by 22 and 13 points, respectively, and then struggle to hold your seat in a massive Democratic wave year, that’s definitely underwhelming, regardless of the fact that Scott is obviously Nelson's strongest challenger yet.

And it's also interesting how Nelson's margins have declined as time goes on. It is clear from the polls that this race will be decided by single digits either way. Perhaps it's also a sign of the intensified political polarization that has impacted the country...
Nelson will almost certainly retire in 2024, due to his age (he'd be 81 by then) and his declining political strength.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2018, 06:47:38 PM »

Regardless of whether Scott is leading or not, it is pretty pathetic that Nelson is not winning this race by double digits. Brown and Casey are winning by more typical margins of swing state Democratic incumbents in a Democratic year; Nelson is the outlier.
Can you ever do something other than concern troll?
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