Ohio Ballot Issue 1 Megathread (August 8)

[Progressive Pessimist]

I had a dream last night (yes, seriously) that "No" won 63-37. I don't know if this will be accurate, but it's as arbitrary as any other prediction I could come up with.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I didn't get to comment on this matter since it happened on Tuesday, but as I expected, we got a very positive result for the future of democracy and reproductive rights.

I just don't want to jump to conclusions about what this might mean for future elections. It definitely doesn't mean that Biden, or maybe any Democrat, can win it in a presidential election again. Though I guess a case can be made that Sherrod Brown now knows where in the state to focus and with what issues for 2024 even better now, LaRose may be slightly humiliated due to his affiliation with the initiative, and that there is still at least some sanity in Northeastern Ohio still, as far right as it has moved over the years. The other parts of the state where those 43% who were manipulated into voting in favor of diluting their rights are hopeless though.

Before extrapolating more I think I want to wait for the November abortion question. I expect that it will pass fairly easily, but by less than Issue 1's defeat.