OR GOV NRCC INTERNAL DRAZEN + 1

[Progressive Pessimist]

I still don't really know what to make of this race, especially when there are still so many undecideds.

It's plausible but I think Kotek will ultimately pull it out somewhat comfortably. Reminds me of Massachusetts 2010.

I can see that too, but I am reminded more of Connecticut in 2018. I've been saying that a lot but ultimately that's what I expect from this race, possibly by a similar margin too.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I still don't really know what to make of this race, especially when there are still so many undecideds.

It's plausible but I think Kotek will ultimately pull it out somewhat comfortably. Reminds me of Massachusetts 2010.

I can see that too, but I am reminded more of Connecticut in 2018. I've been saying that a lot but ultimately that's what I expect from this race, possibly by a similar margin too.

I don't really see the comparison there. Johnson should far outperform Greibel thanks to the Phil Knight money and Connecticut 2018 is one where the president's party far outperformed its baseline, whereas Oregon is one where it should far underperform even if Kotek wins.

I say that because we have an unpopular incumbent whose shadow is is being cast over their party nominee's successor and over the race entirely in a solidly Democratic state that will probably end up with a shockingly close result that still gives the Democrat the win in the end. Assuming it ends up this way, of course.

And Betsy Johnson's presence makes this campaign more unique, of course. Certainly that's different.