If the GOP doesn't flip a single "blue" senate seat or governorship, will you be surprised?

[Progressive Pessimist]

No. But I won't be surprised if they do manage to either.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It's a 303 map anyways

Can you explain?

Don't bother. We either aren't dumb or smart enough to understand Olawakandi's reasoning or even his existence. He is an enigma that we all love, but know better than to try and converse with.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Some of the people eagerly predicting a flip in Wisconsin should keep in mind that one of the independents in the race is running on a decidedly MAGA-friendly platform. If it really does come down to the usual Wisconsin ultra-close race, that's a factor that could potentially advantage Evers.

So far though, that Third Party seems to be taking from Evers and is possibly the main reason why he's under-performing Barnes in polling. Wisconsinites being polled don't seem to be aware of who they actually are...or maybe they do? I just can't fathom Barnes/Beglinger voters. Then again this is also the state that gave us a significant number of Clinton/Johnson voters and Baldwin/Walker voters. I will never understand ticket-splitters in general...

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden’s in better shape than he was a few months ago, but I think a lot of pundits are overestimating how much this will really help Dems. He’s still decently underwater, and I suspect much of the recovery is from liberal skeptics of Joe who like his climate bill and student loan debt cancellation.

That's almost certainly the case, but his relative unpopularity seems somewhat irrelevant to Democrats running across the country. It would spell a wave based on a referendum on his presidency if Democrats were down everywhere, but the fact that individual races seem to be happening in vacuums within their own districts/states suggests he isn't as tethered to down-ballot Democrats as Trump was (and probably still is) in 2018.