WaPo/Ipsos: Trump at 4-5% against all Democrats among black adults (user search)
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  WaPo/Ipsos: Trump at 4-5% against all Democrats among black adults (search mode)
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Author Topic: WaPo/Ipsos: Trump at 4-5% against all Democrats among black adults  (Read 2377 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,414
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« on: January 11, 2020, 06:23:39 PM »

That 4% floor!

Yes, but the Dem numbers are also very low compared to Clinton for everyone but Biden (and his 82% is still low) so IDK what your point is?  The poll just has a ton of undecideds.

Trump is not going to win the majority of those undecideds.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,414
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2020, 06:44:47 PM »

He will end up getting 7-9% in the end.

For once, you are correct and have realistic expectations for him.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,414
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2020, 06:39:26 PM »

He will end up getting 7-9% in the end.

For once, you are correct and have realistic expectations for him.

No, you have unrealistically pessimistic expectations for the Dems (in terms of performance with African American voters).

I don't know about that, Romney absolutely plateaued with black voters but still managed to get  6% against Obama. An election not against Obama probably gives Trump, and maybe any other Republican, at least a 7% floor or so.
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