AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points)

[Progressive Pessimist]

I doubt a win here, but I do look forward to the margins. The Republicans in recent special elections, even when they win, have all consistently underperformed Trump's margins. We may not have really looked at the Montana or Georgia specials as such since they were loses following the 2016 Presidential election loss for the Democrats, and continued to make us Democrats feel blue, but there were pretty large swings even back then. I'll take any assurance that a wave will happen even if we don't have a Conor Lamb in every special election district before the midterms.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It'll be a shame when Tipirneni loses. She's a really good candidate, just in the wrong district.

She is very good and has a good future.  She can break into the 40s (the Democrats have consistently stayed in the 30s when they fielded candidates)-- and if so, that's another positive sign for the Democrats.

I hope she can run in another district in 2020 if one becomes open. Or hopefully a major scandal hits Lesko. But I doubt Republicans will let another AL-Sen or PA-18 car crash happen.

Yeah we had a good run, but there's still November to look forward to.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It'll be a shame when Tipirneni loses. She's a really good candidate, just in the wrong district.

She is very good and has a good future.  She can break into the 40s (the Democrats have consistently stayed in the 30s when they fielded candidates)-- and if so, that's another positive sign for the Democrats.

I hope she can run in another district in 2020 if one becomes open. Or hopefully a major scandal hits Lesko. But I doubt Republicans will let another AL-Sen or PA-18 car crash happen.

Yeah we had a good run, but there's still November to look forward to.

Ohio-12

I forgot about that one. Yeah that could be interesting. I don't want to get my hopes up, but I said that for the Alabama special election and the PA-18 special, and this seat is quite a bit less Republican than those.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I would be okay with a single digit loss here.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Slightly Off-Topic, but why did this thread view count shoot up + 2k views within the past 3-4 days?

Never really seen that kind of a % jump that quickly on Atlas, and could be Atlas Posters constantly refreshing, external viewers checking in on what we are all talking about, or hell knows even the FSB and Putin checkin' in on what we're all talking about....

Anyways.... carry on keep calm, but extremely interesting to see all of this outside attention on just the past couple days since a few new polls came out on CD-08.....

I assume people thought of this race as very safe R, but over the past few days as early voters have come trickling in and new polls having been surfaced interest really increased plus the media has been hyping it up lately as well.

oh lordie... not the media. I swear if this race suddenly becomes a "tossup" in the media's eyes and they declare the blue wave dead when Lesko wins by over 5....

Lol. I’ve already seen article titles about the GOP scrambling to defend AZ-08 and stuff similar to it.

Watch Lesko win by 8 and the media act like Republicans are getting their sh**t together

It's inevitable and Trump will break a back when he tries to gratify himself over it.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I said from the beginning that I would be content with a single digit loss for Tiperneni and I predicted that Lesko would win by 9, which is a loss I would have been okay with. Lesko winning by only about half of that makes me absolutely thrilled. This should not have been close, Republicans! The chickens are coming home to roost.