CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[jamestroll]

Let's see.. if wealthy college whites vote heavy to recall we should immediate rethink the standard va gov prediction.

[jamestroll]

One thing I do suspect (and suspected even before this) is that 2022 will be absolutely devastating for blue state Republicans/red state Democrats across the board — I expect it to be an incredibly polarized straight-ticket midterm like no other before. This result also points to such an environment.

Yea I agree with this take

I think VA gov is going to be a route via the same basis

VA gov is going to be extremely close...

[jamestroll]

It would be absolutely insulting to your supporters and your staff to drop out of a Virginia Governor race because of what happened in a state on the other side of the country that is around 21 points more Democratic

Let’s not get carried away lol

That’s like saying obama should have suspended campaign after 2012 Wisconsin recall

The Virginia Gubernatorial Election will be extremely close and it is anyone's game..

but I am afraid Youngkin will be governor either way.. his supporters are scary and will do anything to win.. even if it is via a coup

[jamestroll]

Highly underrated reason why Democrats have done so well in VA:

They do surprisingly well in rural VA. Especially east of the "mountains".

[jamestroll]

My predictions in Nova for VA-Gov:

Fairfax 59 to 40 mcauliffe
Loudoun 53 to 46 mcauliffe
Prince William 55 to 44 mcauliffe
Arlington 72 to 27 mcauliffe
Alexandria 74 to 25 mcauliffe

Hopefully that will be enough to win but thats cutting it close.