IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18 (user search)
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  IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18  (Read 1424 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: April 27, 2018, 04:24:50 PM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.

Yeh, I was gonna say, the criminal and Quinn each won their first reelections despite having like -20 or more approvals, LOL. It took a six year itch, plus a "moderate" billionaire who could outspend Quinn, and un-reproducible margins in the collar counties to barely crack 50% against a Governor mired at a 30% approval rating.

People writing Pritzker's 2022 obituary this early really should know better.



haaha and this was the 2006 map.

The map may not be that much different from 2006 if Pritzker is winning by a larger margin than Blagojevich. Expect I think downstate will be less dem and DuPage county may surprise everyone and go for Pritzker.

Also Topinka may have been popular but a lot of these down ballot performances are due to sheer name ID and having a specific job duty that is hard to create much controversy. They often falter once they seek promotions.
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