Which upsets do you expect? (House/Senate/Local) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 02:37:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Which upsets do you expect? (House/Senate/Local) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Which upsets do you expect? (House/Senate/Local)  (Read 1483 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,548


« on: November 25, 2017, 09:03:42 AM »
« edited: November 25, 2017, 09:24:55 AM by Jimmie »

Democrats will do well in the rust belt next year.

After GA-06 everyone was like:

OMG!!!!! LETS GIVE UP ON THE BURBS CLINTON DID WELL IN! WE GOTTA GO BACK TO THE RUST BELT!!!

Now after Virginia everyone is like:

LETS FORGET ABOUT THOSE KICKS!!! SUBURBS ONLY IN THE SUN BELT WILL SAVE US!

For 2018:

It is likely the Democratic surge in suburbs will be very present in the Midwest and we have already seen from special elections up and down the ballot that rural areas in the Midwest have made significant Democratic swings that you did not see in rural Virginia. In a decade from now Georgia will very likely be more Democratic than Michigan but probably not in 2018 overall.
Logged
jamestroll
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,548


« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2017, 09:25:30 AM »

Democrats will do well in the rust belt next year.

After GA-06 everyone was like:

OMG!!!!! LETS GIVE UP ON THE BURBS CLINTON DID WELL IN! WE GOTTA GO BACK TO THE RUST BELT!!!

Now after Virginia everyone is like:

LETS FORGET ABOUT THOSE KICKS!!! SUBURBS ONLY IN THE SUN BELT WILL SAVE US!

For 2018:

It is likely the Democratic surge in suburbs will be very present in the Midwest and we have already seen from special elections up and down the ballot that rural areas in the Midwest have made significant Democratic swings that you did not see in rural Virginia. In a decade from now Georgia will very likely be more Democratic than Georgia but probably not in 2018 overall.

I'm having trouble parsing this.  Did you mean that in a decade (1) GA will be more D than it is now (likely) or (2) GA will be more D than VA (unlikely) or (3) something else?

fixed. I meant in a decade Georgia will likely be more Democratic compared to Michigan but a year from today I suspect Democratic results will be better in Michigan than Georgia.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.