Creating this thread might have been one of my worst takes ever
Oh, I was not trying to call you out on it. It is just an example how quickly politics can change.
Now, I do think the believe the media exaggerates the swing and trend among minorities to the GOP. The GOP will struggle to gain more than 40% of the Latino vote and 20% of the black vote. With exceptions of local races, scandalous democrats, etc. Latinos as a whole in the United States support dem/liberal policies despite certain groups among them being SEVERELY conservative.
As become more ideological polarized, the black vote will dissipate a bit for Democrats, but it was ALWAYS unrealistic to expect Democrats after OBAMA to do as well with blacks. Democrats do seem to take black priorities over Latino priorities, and a Mexican is vastly different from a Cuban.
If you compared today to 2004, Latinos vote for Democrat looks mostly good. Compared to 2012 and 2016, mostly bad.
The Latino community votes and will continue to vote Democrat over economic issues and their perception that the GOP is racist. The >60% of Latinos will vote Democrat who agree with Democratic fiscal policies. Abortion, LGBT, etc are not really huge issues in their communities.
The other Latins who came from Cuba or other areas which caused them to fear "socialism" will vote mostly Republican. But it is not like either side is exactly totally by the book in partisan voting. There have been wildly swings on both sides over the past decae.
I used to believe that word policing would be a small factor in hurting Democrats with the Latino vote, but recently conservatives have also been word policing. so its more neutral now.
>80% of my friends and associates are black or latino. No, I do not associate with illegals or undocumented. All I can there may be a little more openness in the black community to the GOP, but it is going to be a long long time before it goes above 20% GOP.
Also, with hindsight, Clinton ran a terrible campaign for WHITE democrats. Clinton 2016 had the worst combination of obviously conservative areas finding breaking the dam and fleeing to the GOP, and her running a campaign tailored against whites. She almost lost New Hampshire, and you can argue she could have well lost Colorado without PUSSYGATE. People often forget that CO was closer than VA in 2016. For both states, 2016 was likely the last time for a while that the GOP had a path in a competitive election, though obviously the GOP would get VA in a 1988 and
maybe a 2008 gop redux.
In November this year, the chances of Biden winning the Electoral College and losing the popular vote are much more probable than you would believe.. while winning the WHITE vote in several states that was not even feasible in 2020 and before.
The people who support the most hard left policies in this country are WHITE.
But of course, things can and will change over the next decade.
