The Dems need an autopsy -- they are now a completely regional party. (user search)
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  The Dems need an autopsy -- they are now a completely regional party. (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Dems need an autopsy -- they are now a completely regional party.  (Read 6266 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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« on: November 22, 2016, 11:58:28 AM »

Just saying, after the 2008 Elections, the GOP was deemed as a regional party also..

People are overthinking results.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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*****
Posts: 10,540


« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2016, 12:12:06 PM »

Just saying, after the 2008 Elections, the GOP was deemed as a regional party also..

People are overthinking results.

Nope, the Dems are trending away from winning the EC. Their ratio of number of votes to EC votes gets worse and worse...Repubs get better and better.

Nope,

I suspect in 2020 Democrats should be able to win MI, PA, and WI back. They would be highly competitive in Arizona, and I would actually expect them to win Georgia in 2020 if there is any investment. Virtually there was no investment in Georgia this cycle, and Clinton did relatively well.

In fact, if Trump can not keep his promises, I suspect Ohio and Iowa will be contestable.

And in 2020, I doubt Missouri and Indiana will be going to Trump by 20 points. Sure, it would be no additional electoral votes, but it helps down the ballot.

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jamestroll
jamespol
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*****
Posts: 10,540


« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2016, 12:21:19 PM »

Just saying, after the 2008 Elections, the GOP was deemed as a regional party also..

People are overthinking results.

Nope, the Dems are trending away from winning the EC. Their ratio of number of votes to EC votes gets worse and worse...Repubs get better and better.

Nope,

I suspect in 2020 Democrats should be able to win MI, PA, and WI back. They would be highly competitive in Arizona, and I would actually expect them to win Georgia in 2020 if there is any investment. Virtually there was no investment in Georgia this cycle, and Clinton did relatively well.

In fact, if Trump can not keep his promises, I suspect Ohio and Iowa will be contestable.

And in 2020, I doubt Missouri and Indiana will be going to Trump by 20 points. Sure, it would be no additional electoral votes, but it helps down the ballot.



Yeahhhh.. but you thought Clinton would win sooooo....you go that goin against ya

Dude, ask TN Volunteer, ask others.. in some private conversations I was completing freaking out and going nuts. The rural vote I was seeing was going too strong for Trump...

And No, I am not a hack. I am probably the least hackish liberal here.
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jamestroll
jamespol
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*****
Posts: 10,540


« Reply #3 on: November 28, 2016, 02:59:29 PM »

It's become a tradition to say that the party that loses is doomed.

2004: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!

2008: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2010: Obama is done for in 2012!

2012: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2016: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!

lol.. that seems to be the case every single election. I may sig this.
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