Jay 🏳️⚧️
trippytropicana
Jr. Member
Posts: 637
Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 09:13:29 PM » |
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It has been about 2 hours since the poll dropped and I intentionally muted "iowa" on twitter and didn't peek into this thread too often so I could gather some thoughts about this.
Ultimately, I think everyone here has been overhyping this poll.
In their last poll, it was a tie at 47% to 47%, in this poll, Trump leads 48% to 41%. Has Biden really lost 6% of his support in just a month? Well, no, of course not.
This poll differs from the last poll in which they included an option for people who've already voted: "don't want to tell." And that option is taking.. 5%! It's also presumably taking up a significant chunk of the people who say they've already voted, which is a group likely to benefit Biden.
It's not amazing news for the Democrats, but the jank crosstabs and the inclusion of the "I don't want to tell you who I voted for option" might make this poll look deceptively good to Trump.
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