What % of "Others" typically vote Dem? And what % of (Moderate) Republicans do polls show are likely to support Sinema?
The NYT poll which had McSalley up 2 had Sinema winning 13% of registered Republican, McSally winning 13% of registered Democrats and Sinema winning other 51-42. That was two weeks ago, but Sinema needs to improve on those numbers a bit to have a chance.
That kind of break down suggests presently a 52%-46% split in McSalley's favor.
Wouldn't the average and the median age (respectively 64 and 61.2) indicate a much older voters pool than the one on election day? If so, wouldn't such a close split be somewhat good news for Sinema?
