Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4) (user search)
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  Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Renacci closing Gap in OH Senate Race (R) (Brown +4)  (Read 1379 times)
terp40hitch
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« on: July 16, 2018, 02:29:01 PM »
« edited: July 16, 2018, 02:30:16 PM by Brittain33 »

http://www.wethepeopleconvention.org/ohio-2018-general-election-poll-results/

Rep. Jim Renacci in new polls in Ohio are showing a statistical tie between him and Senator Brown. This is the second poll in two weeks that show this race moving to become a tossup. The other poll is https://www.axios.com/2018-midterms-senate-races-voter-assumptions-poll-513a1291-9e61-4ffb-b4da-fae0a2b1373a.html which shows it as a tossup with likely voters
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2018, 02:35:48 PM »

This sounds about right, Brown was never going to win by 12 points or whatever, he will win by 6-7.
I work with the campaign (So I may be a little bias), I think it will be around Brown +3 to +5 near the end. Most polls so far showing Brown up by +10 are because how little Renacci is known around the state so I do think by election day it will become much tighter.
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terp40hitch
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2018, 02:39:08 PM »

Why didn't you put the name of the poll in the title?

"TEA PARTY POLL" Haha

Also the company that they claimed commissioned the poll, TRZ Communication, has nothing on their website about polling.

I could be wrong, but until evidence proves otherwise this feels like a fake poll.
It may not be credible but I do see a trend with the polls in recent weeks showing it going into single digits, the two polls I put up were the most recent but it has become much tighter in recent weeks since Renacci and Republican PACs started putting tv ads on the air.
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terp40hitch
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Posts: 1,618
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2018, 04:48:11 PM »

They have a Gov poll showing DeWine leading Cordray
Which is probably very true though
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