Divison 2020 Election Game (Game Thread)

[terp40hitch]

New Hampshire Election Night 2020: First Results

Anderson Cooper: With more result out now, we now know the write-in Donald Trump effort has failed and Kasich has won overwhelmingly. On the Democratic side, Biden had an early lead mostly because votes were coming from rural areas of the state but now that the more liberal cities are coming in Gillibrand is now coming back but is in a five-way and sometimes a six-way tie for the leader in New Hampshire.

Now here are our first results out of New Hampshire:

Official Democratic New Hampshire Results (1.7%)

Joe Biden: 17%

Kristen Gillibrand: 16%

Sherrod Brown: 16%

Doug Jones: 15%

Michelle Obama: 14%

Derek Jeter: 11%

Juaquin Castro: 10%

John Delaney: 1%

Official Republican New Hampshire Results (1.7%)

John Kasich: 74%

Write-In: 21%

Vermin Supreme: 5%

[terp40hitch]

New Hampshire Election Night 2020: First Results

Anderson Cooper: Even with all the negative attack ads aimed at Gillibrand, she was still able to pull ahead and if she keeps this lead then the night might be shorter than we thought it would be. Biden, Jones, Obama, and Brown are all in very good positions to still pull off a win and we are opened to a surprise from both Castro and Jeter. On the Republican side, Kasich has pushed the write-ins down but he has to keep pushing it below 10% or there will be more committed Trump Delegates at the convection.

Now here are our first results out of New Hampshire:

Official Democratic New Hampshire Results (29.5%)

Kristen Gillibrand: 19%

Joe Biden: 16%

Doug Jones: 16%

Michelle Obama: 15%

Sherrod Brown: 12%

Juaquin Castro: 10%

Derek Jeter: 9%

John Delaney: 3%

Official Republican New Hampshire Results (29.5%)

John Kasich: 84%

Write-In: 11%

Vermin Supreme: 5%

[terp40hitch]

New Hampshire Election Night 2020: First Results

Anderson Cooper: Breaking News coming out of New Hampshire: with the number of votes counted and the lead of Gillibrand, we project Kristen Gillibrand to win New Hampshire and Joe Biden to place second. Obama was talking about three clear tickets coming out of Iowa in her victory speech but I think there could be a fourth or even a fifth if Jones pulls off a surprise third.

Now here are our results out of New Hampshire:

Official Democratic New Hampshire Results (79.1%)

Kristen Gillibrand: 21%

Joe Biden: 19%

Doug Jones: 17%

Michelle Obama: 17

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Juaquin Castro: 14%

Derek Jeter: 11%

John Delaney: 1%

Official Republican New Hampshire Results (79.1%)

John Kasich: 83%

Write-In: 14%

Vermin Supreme: 3%

[terp40hitch]

Democrat Race Update

Sherrod Brown: 18

Joe Biden: 17

Kristen Gillibrand: 15

Michelle Obama: 12

John Delaney: 6

Doug Jones: 6

Derek Jeter: 1

Juaquin Castro: 1

Official Democratic New Hampshire primary Results

Kristen Gillibrand: 20.3% (10)

Joe Biden: 17.7%(7)

Doug Jones: 16.2%(6)

Michelle Obama: 15.3% (5)

Sherrod Brown: 11.4% (2)

Derek Jeter: 10.1% (1)

Juaquin Castro: 10.0% (1)

John Delaney: 2.0%

[terp40hitch]

Republican Race Update

John Kasich: 29

Donald Trump: 24

Official Republican New Hampshire Primary Results

John Kasich: 85.7% (18)

Donald Trump: 10.1% (5)

Vermin Supreme:3.4

Other: 0.8%

[terp40hitch]

Can I be Tim Pawlenty in this simulation?

Sure!

[terp40hitch]

Small Question, Am I able to choose Trump instead?

No, he is officially out

[terp40hitch]

Turn 5

Febuary 10th to Febuary 27th

In the News!

Enterance of Pawlnety and Roemer enter the field

With the exit of Trump, the Republican race was wide open so Pawlenty has jumped in. Roemer believes that this will be the independents year

Victory in New Hampshire

Kasich and Gillibrand take their first wins with imppersive showings from Obama, Biden and Jones

Trump, Clinton and Delaney leave the field

After poor showing in Iowa, Clinton called it quits and then after a poor showing in New Hampshire, Delaney left the field with his six delegates.

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 51%

Approve: 35%

Unsure: 14%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Democrat: 44%

Generic Republican: 43%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1%

Unsure: 12%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

John Kasich: 47%

Tim Pawlenty: 32%

Unsure: 21%

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 23%

Sherrod Brown: 16%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Michelle Obama: 11%

Doug Jones: 10%

Derek Jeter: 7%

Joaquin Castro: 3%

Unsure: 15%

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

South Carolina

John Kasich: 46%

Tim Pawlenty: 43%

Unsure: 11%

Nevada

John Kasich: 53%

Tim Pawlnety: 41%

Unsure: 6%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Nevada

Michelle Obama: 21%

Joe Biden: 20%

Juaquin Castro: 19%

Derek Jeter: 14%

Kristen Gillibrand: 7%

Sherrod Brown: 6%

Doug Jones: 4%

Unsure: 9%

South Carolina

Michelle Obama: 26%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Doug Jones: 17%

Joe Biden: 11%

Kristen Gillibrand: 6%

Juaquin Castro: 5%

Sherrod Brown: 4%

Unsure: 10%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Next Sunday night, at 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

There will be no debate during this turn, however, there will be one in Turn six. You are allowed two endorsements per turn, so make sure to PM me your endorsements so that I can approve of them, and endorsements are first-come, first-serve.

This turn will last the first week of February and the last turn before the South Carolina and Nevada. Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

[terp40hitch]

General Election Polling

Closet States

Pennsylvainia

Generic Democrat: 43.1%

Generic Republican: 41.9%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.7%

Florida

Generic Democrat: 41.7%

Generic Republican: 41.3%

Roemer/ Chaffee: 2.9%

Maine

Generic Democrat: 47.8%

Generic Republican: 45.6%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.3%

Homestates

Ohio

John Kasich: 50.7%

Generic Democrat: 44.8%

Roemer/ Chaffee: 0.6%

Minnestota

Tim Pawlenty: 46.7%

Generic Democrat: 43.2%

Roemer/ Chaffee: 0.9%

Luisiana

Generic Republican: 54.6%

Generic Democrat: 35.8%

Roemer/ Chaffee: 7.9%

[terp40hitch]

Election 2020: MSNBC Covarage of Nevada and South Carolina

Rachel Maddow: Gillibrand has taken a win, Brown has taken a win. Now, Castro, Biden, Obama, Jones, and Jeter all hope to make their first win ahead of Super Tuesday. On the Republican side, Pawlenty entered the field now he is nowhere to be seen.

The first results are coming in now:

Democrat South Carolina Results (0.3%)

Michelle Obama: 24%

Doug Jones: 19%

Derek Jeter: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 12%

Joe Biden: 12%

Sherrod Brown: 11%

Jouaquin Castro: 7%

Republican South Carolina Results (0.3%)

Tim Pawlenty: 51%

John Kasich: 49%

[terp40hitch]

Election 2020: MSNBC Covarage of Nevada and South Carolina

Rachel Maddow: Brian, what is your take on the first results out of South Carolina?

Brian Williams: I don't think we should read too much into them especially in the Republican race where it is mostly just early votes when Pawlenty had the momentum from his announcement but I don't think that will stay since he didn't campaign. You can already see that Kasich has overtaken him and I believe the lead will just continue to grow.

On the Democratic side, Michelle Obama definitely has a firm lead but Doug Jones and Derek Jeter are definitely within a position where they can scare the Obama campaign. Many in the last days wondered whether the attacks on Gillibrand and Castro were working and it looks like Gillibrand was able to shake them off but Castro continues to fall.

Democrat South Carolina Results (1.3%)

Michelle Obama: 25%

Doug Jones: 21%

Derek Jeter: 19%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Joe Biden: 11%

Sherrod Brown: 6%

Jouaquin Castro: 3%

Republican South Carolina Results (1.3%)

John Kasich: 53%

Tim Pawlenty: 47%

[terp40hitch]

Election 2020: MSNBC Covarage of Nevada and South Carolina

Rachel Maddow: At this time, we can make a call in South Carolina for the Republicans. John Kasich with his lead, we believe at MSNBC, that he will win that state. If Kasich can win in such a pro-Trump state like South Carolina then it really proves that he has a lot of momentum but this winning streak could end if another bid name comes into the primary like Mike Pence or Nikki Haley.

We do also have our first results out of Nevada and that is much closer than we expected even though we did believe it would be too close to call. Right now, it is basically a tie between Biden and Castro for first while Obama and Jeter are close behind. On the Republican side, with the exit polls, we believe that Kasich will pick up his third win in a state he spent heavily in.

Democrat South Carolina Results (34.7%)

Michelle Obama: 23%

Doug Jones: 22%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Joe Biden: 10%

Sherrod Brown: 8%

Jouaquin Castro: 1%

Democrat Nevada Results (0.1%)

Jouaquin Castro: 19%

Joe Biden: 18%

Michelle Obama: 17%

Derek Jeter: 17%

Kristen Gillibrand: 14%

Doug Jones: 10%

Sherrod Brown: 5%

Republican South Carolina Results (34.7%)

John Kasich: 55%

Tim Pawlenty: 45%

Republican Nevada Results (3.5%)

John Kasich: 53%

Tim Pawlenty: 47%

[terp40hitch]

Election 2020: MSNBC Covarage of Nevada and South Carolina

Rachel Maddow: Kasich is the clear frontrunner is the message I am getting out of the Republican primaries but he does have resistance from some pro-Trump and conservative voters and that is why Pawlenty is doing so well at this point.

Democrat South Carolina Results (53.7%)

Michelle Obama: 24%

Doug Jones: 23%

Derek Jeter: 19%

Kristen Gillibrand: 16%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Joe Biden: 7%

Jouaquin Castro: 1%

Democrat Nevada Results (10.9%)

Joe Biden: 18%

Michelle Obama: 17%

Jouaquin Castro: 16%

Derek Jeter: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Doug Jones: 13%

Sherrod Brown: 6%

Republican South Carolina Results (34.7%)

John Kasich: 54%

Tim Pawlenty: 46%

Republican Nevada Results (3.5%)

John Kasich: 58%

Tim Pawlenty: 42%

[terp40hitch]

Election 2020: MSNBC Covarage of Nevada and South Carolina

Rachel Maddow: With the final results coming out of South Carolina and Nevada, we can officially call them both. Obama has won South Carolina while in Nevada, Joe Biden pulled an upset. Many believed that Jones' attacks against Castro might have cost Castro Nevada but it did increase his negatives which might have cost him a win in South Carolina against Obama.

This does give momentum to Jones, Castro, Obama, and Biden but it might also give a boost to Jeter who did do pretty well in both Nevada and South Carolina.

Democrat South Carolina Results (99.5%)

Michelle Obama: 22%

Doug Jones: 22%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Kristen Gillibrand: 17%

Sherrod Brown: 11%

Joe Biden: 6%

Jouaquin Castro: 2%

Democrat Nevada Results (87.6%)

Joe Biden: 19%

Jouaquin Castro: 17%

Michelle Obama: 16%

Derek Jeter: 16%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Doug Jones: 14%

Sherrod Brown: 4%

Republican South Carolina Results (99.5%)

John Kasich: 55%

Tim Pawlenty: 45%

Republican Nevada Results (91.8%)

John Kasich: 61%

Tim Pawlenty: 39%

[terp40hitch]

Democratic Race Update

Michelle Obama: 41

Joe Biden: 31

Kristen Gillibrand: 25

Sherrod Brown: 23

Doug Jones: 20

Derek Jeter: 19

Joaquin Castro: 13

John Delaney: 6

Democratic Final Nevada Caucus Results

Joe Biden: 18.2% (14)

Joaquin Castro: 17.9% (12)

Derek Jeter: 16.3% (6)

Michelle Obama: 16.1% (5)

Kristen Gillibrand: 15.2% (4)

Doug Jones: 15.0% (2)

Sherrod Brown: 1.3%

Democratic Final South Carolina Results

Michelle Obama: 20.4% (24)

Doug Jones: 19.4% (12)

Derek Jeter: 19.1% (12)

Kristen Gillibrand: 15.7% (6)

Sherrod Brown: 15.2% (5)

Joe Biden: 6.8%

Joaquin Castro: 3.4%

[terp40hitch]

Republican Race Update

John Kasich: 97

Donald Trump: 24

Tim Pawlenty: 12

Final Republican South Carolina Primary Results

John Kasich: 54.7% (50)

Tim Pawlenty: 45.3%

Final Republican Nevada Caucus Results

John Kasich: 59.5% (18)

Tim Pawlenty: 40.5% (12)

[terp40hitch]

Turn 6

Febuary 27th to March 1st

In the News!

Obama out of money, leaves field

At the begginig of the year, the media was calling this the year of the women now only one remainings after Michelle Obama ran out of money and supended her campaign after a win in South Carolina

Pence enters presidential field ahead of curcial Super Tuesday

Seeing Kasich's weakness, Pence enters the field to heal the divided party by unifing both estblishment and pro-Trumpers

SUPER TUESDAY!

Just days away from Super Tuesday the candidates are all preping for the biggest primary night of the year

Trump To Address the Nation on Febuary 30th

This address is execpted to state the reason why the president made his suprise exit from the presidential field

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 49%

Approve: 45%

Unsure: 6%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Republican: 45%

Generic Democrat: 42%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1%

Unsure: 13%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Mike Pence: 38%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 12%

Unsure: 13%

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 27%

Kristen Gillibrand: 22%

Sherrod Brown: 19%

Derek Jeter: 11%

Joaquin Castro: 9%

Unsure: 12%

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

Alabama

Mike Pence: 51%

John Kasich: 27%

Tim Pawlenty: 8%

Alaska

John Kasich: 43%

Mike Pence: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 16%

Arkansas

Mike Pence: 49%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 11%

Georgia

Mike Pence: 47%

John Kasich: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 13%

Massachuetts

John Kasich: 53%

Mike Pence: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 10%

Minnesota

Tim Pawlenty: 58%

John Kasich: 22%

Mike Pence: 20%

Oklahoma

Mike Pence: 39%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 7%

Tennesee

Mike Pence: 41%

John Kasich: 40%

Tim Pawlenty: 5%

Texas

Mike Pence: 45%

John Kasich: 38%

Tim Pawlenty: 7%

Vermont

John Kasich: 59%

Mike Pence: 21%

Tim Pawlenty: 19%

Virginia

John Kasich: 45%

Mike Pence: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 9%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Alabama

Joe Biden: 21%

Derek Jeter: 17%

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 13%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Arkansas

Joe Biden: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Jaoquin Castro: 15%

Derek Jeter: 14%

Kristen Gillibrand: 11%

Colorado

Derek Jeter: 37%

Kristen Gillibrand: 24%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Joe Biden: 7%

Georgia

Joe Biden: 21%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Derek Jeter: 17%

Kristen Gillibrand: 11%

Jaoquin Castro: 15%

Massachuetts

Kristen Gillibrand: 27%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Joe Biden: 16%

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Jaoquin Castro: 3%

Minnesota

Sherrod Brown: 31%

Joe Biden: 27%

Derek Jeter: 16%

Kristen Gillibrand: 6%

Jaoquin Castro: 1%

Oklahoma

Jaoquin Castro: 27%

Derek Jeter: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 17%

Joe Biden: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 3%

Tennesee

Sherrod Brown: 34%

Joe Bidn: 31%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Joaquin Castro: 7%

Derek Jeter: 4%

Texas

Jaoquin Castro: 34%

Sherrod Brown: 16%

Joe Biden: 14%

Kristen Gillibrand: 7%

Derek Jeter: 4%

Vermont

Kristen Gillibrand: 39%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Joe Biden: 14%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Jaoquin Castro: 3%

Virginia

Joe Biden: 24%

Sherrod Brown: 23%

Kristen Gillibrand: 17%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Derek Jeter: 5%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Friday night, at 8:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

This turn will last the last week of February and the last turn before SUPER TUESDAY! Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

[terp40hitch]

Turn 6

Febuary 27th to March 1st

In the News!

Obama out of money, leaves field

At the begginig of the year, the media was calling this the year of the women now only one remainings after Michelle Obama ran out of money and supended her campaign after a win in South Carolina

Pence enters presidential field ahead of curcial Super Tuesday

Seeing Kasich's weakness, Pence enters the field to heal the divided party by unifing both estblishment and pro-Trumpers

SUPER TUESDAY!

Just days away from Super Tuesday the candidates are all preping for the biggest primary night of the year

Trump To Address the Nation on Febuary 30th

This address is execpted to state the reason why the president made his suprise exit from the presidential field

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 49%

Approve: 45%

Unsure: 6%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Republican: 45%

Generic Democrat: 42%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1%

Unsure: 13%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Mike Pence: 38%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 12%

Unsure: 13%

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 27%

Kristen Gillibrand: 22%

Sherrod Brown: 19%

Derek Jeter: 11%

Joaquin Castro: 9%

Unsure: 12%

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

Alabama

Mike Pence: 51%

John Kasich: 27%

Tim Pawlenty: 8%

Alaska

John Kasich: 43%

Mike Pence: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 16%

Arkansas

Mike Pence: 49%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 11%

Georgia

Mike Pence: 47%

John Kasich: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 13%

Massachuetts

John Kasich: 53%

Mike Pence: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 10%

Minnesota

Tim Pawlenty: 58%

John Kasich: 22%

Mike Pence: 20%

Oklahoma

Mike Pence: 39%

John Kasich: 37%

Tim Pawlenty: 7%

Tennesee

Mike Pence: 41%

John Kasich: 40%

Tim Pawlenty: 5%

Texas

Mike Pence: 45%

John Kasich: 38%

Tim Pawlenty: 7%

Vermont

John Kasich: 59%

Mike Pence: 21%

Tim Pawlenty: 19%

Virginia

John Kasich: 45%

Mike Pence: 41%

Tim Pawlenty: 9%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Alabama

Joe Biden: 21%

Derek Jeter: 17%

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 13%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Arkansas

Joe Biden: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Jaoquin Castro: 15%

Derek Jeter: 14%

Kristen Gillibrand: 11%

Colorado

Derek Jeter: 37%

Kristen Gillibrand: 24%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Joe Biden: 7%

Georgia

Joe Biden: 21%

Sherrod Brown: 21%

Derek Jeter: 17%

Kristen Gillibrand: 11%

Jaoquin Castro: 15%

Massachuetts

Kristen Gillibrand: 27%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Joe Biden: 16%

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Jaoquin Castro: 3%

Minnesota

Sherrod Brown: 31%

Joe Biden: 27%

Derek Jeter: 16%

Kristen Gillibrand: 6%

Jaoquin Castro: 1%

Oklahoma

Jaoquin Castro: 27%

Derek Jeter: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 17%

Joe Biden: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 3%

Tennesee

Sherrod Brown: 34%

Joe Bidn: 31%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Joaquin Castro: 7%

Derek Jeter: 4%

Texas

Jaoquin Castro: 34%

Sherrod Brown: 16%

Joe Biden: 14%

Kristen Gillibrand: 7%

Derek Jeter: 4%

Vermont

Kristen Gillibrand: 39%

Derek Jeter: 21%

Joe Biden: 14%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Jaoquin Castro: 3%

Virginia

Joe Biden: 24%

Sherrod Brown: 23%

Kristen Gillibrand: 17%

Jaoquin Castro: 11%

Derek Jeter: 5%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Friday night, at 8:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

This turn will last the last week of February and the last turn before SUPER TUESDAY! Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

I don't know if you forgot it, but just for your information, California is also scheduled to hold its primary on Super Tuesday 2020.

https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/events.phtml?s=c&f=m

And according to Green Papers, Super Tuesday 2020 is scheduled to be on March 3 2020, unless it is that you just decided to make the primary schedule identical to the 2016 one.

I made it identical to 2016 because we don't know exactly when primaries will be.

California moving there primary up still needs to be approved by party officials (at least to my knowledge) and if it isn't approved by party officials it would keep the same date or like in 2008 with Michigan and Florida, only be given a few delegates. So I dediced to go with the former and keep it i June

[terp40hitch]

General Election Polling and Summary

With the entrance of Pence, the Republicans made many gains in the South because Pence was able to bring pro-Trump Republicans back into the party after many were felt disenfranchised with Kasich as the frontrunner. The entrance of Pence did hurt the parties chance in many Midwestern states because of the highly unpopular tariffs that still are hurting agriculture. At this point, the strongest chance for Republicans to win the White House in November is if there is a unity ticket between Trumper and Anti-Trumper.

Strongest Roemer State

Utah

Generic Republican: 47.4%

Generic Democrat: 23.2%

Roemer/Chaffee: 10.9%

Strongest Republican State

Oklahoma

Generic Republican: 67.9%

Generic Democrat: 21.7%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.3%

Strongest Democratic State

District of Columbia

Generic Democrat: 84.5%

Generic Republican: 9.7%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.7%

Closet State

Iowa

Generic Democrat: 47.8%

Generic Republican: 47.3%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.5%

[terp40hitch]

Can I do interviews with Buddy Roemer

Yes but I didn’t grant those endorsements

[terp40hitch]

National General Election Polls

Gender

Male

Generic Republican: 55.6%

Generic Democrat: 41.7%

Roemer/Chaffee: 2.1%

Women

Generic Democrat: 57.8%

Generic Republican: 40.3%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.4%

Race

White

Generic Republican: 56.7%

Generic Democrat: 42.6%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1.9%

African-American

Generic Democrat: 77.8%

Generic Republican: 21.4%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.1%

Hispanic

Generic Democrat: 65.4%

Generic Republican: 26.7%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.8%

Asian-American

Generic Democrat: 61.9%

Generic Republican: 27.1%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.5%

Party

Republican

Generic Republican: 81.6%

Generic Democrat: 11.4%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1.3%

Democrat

Generic Democrat: 89.7%

Generic Republican: 3.2%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.9%

Independent

Generic Democrat: 47.8%

Generic Republican: 43.2%

Roemer/Chaffee: 1.1%

Hypothetical Matchups

If Kasich Runs as Third Party

Generic Democrat: 43.7%

Generic Republican: 35.6%

Kasich: 12.6%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.3%

Kasich wins the nomination

Generic Democrat: 47.8%

Kasich: 46.5%

Roemer/Chaffee: 0.2%

Pence wins the nomination

Generic Democrat: 46.8%

Pence: 45.1%

Roemer/Chaffee: 4.7%

[terp40hitch]

FOX NEWS BREAKING NEWS: President Trump Address the Nation

Bret Baier: In just seconds we will have the president be holding a press conference to discuss why he had such a surprising exit from the presidential race just after winning the first caucus, Iowa. Now we go live to the speech:

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Bret Baier: Brit Hume, what do you think about the speech?

Brit Hume: It was short but it does sum up why Trump left the field even though we still don't know everything but I think that will come out in the next few days. This is also good for Mike Pence who is trying to win the Trump voters which Kasich has not tried to win over which as Pence has said divided the party.

Bret Baier: Martha, do you believe this will change the Republican primary?

Martha MacCallum: Must likely not, Bret. Most voters knew that Pence is Trump's chosen candidate so maybe he gets a little one percent boost but I do think it could hurt more than help in the northeast and midwest where Trump is the most unpopular with GOP voters.

[terp40hitch]

Snap Poll from Survey Monkey/NBC after Mike Pence becomes Presumtive nominee

National

Mike Pence: 45.7%

Generic Democrat: 45.1%

Roemer/Chafee: 2.7%

Homestates

Indiana

Mike Pence: 52.3%

Generic Democrat: 45.2%

Roemer/Chafee: 0.5%

Luisiana

Mike Pence: 59.6%

Generic Democrat: 31.2%

Roemer/Chafee: 7.5%

Rhode Island

Generic Democrat: 57.9%

Mike Pence: 37.2%

Roemer/Chafee: 3.8%

[terp40hitch]

Jakobisgood, you can only have two endorsements per turn. If you do more than 2 endorsements next round then I will have to punish Castro

[terp40hitch]

Ok, I'll delete some

Thank you