Post-Obama - A Different 2012 (Rules, Sign-up, and OOC thread)

[terp40hitch]

When should we  pm about endorsements, I’m confused when we should?

Once the turn opens, which it has.

Was mine approved? (No rush but I am writing up my Schedule now)

[terp40hitch]

When should we  pm about endorsements, I’m confused when we should?

Once the turn opens, which it has.

Was mine approved? (No rush but I am writing up my Schedule now)

Also did anyone get good news or bad news?

[terp40hitch]

For Terp:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=286530.msg6112489#msg6112489



For anyone to lazy to click the link:  Randomly Generated News is posted EVERY OTHER TURN

Thank you

[terp40hitch]

Reminder that you can't just say you play a pro- life ad. You have to actually play out the dialogue of the ad.

If you are talking about mine, it is coming up soon

[terp40hitch]

I just noticed this but Evan Bayh retired, he didn’t lose in 2010

[terp40hitch]

If Feingold wins Minnesota and Brendsen wins Tennessee the Democrats may have a very heated primary

[terp40hitch]

I think Iowa should be very interesting.

Hopefully

[terp40hitch]

My predictions so far (Republicans):

Iowa: Huckabee comes in 1st, DeMint in 2nd, Bush in a close 3rd, Bachmann also in a close 4th, Giuliani in 5th and Carolla in 6th

Bush can end in 2nd, but at the moment, I'd say 3rd

I definitely think Huckabee is winning Iowa but DeMint, Bush, and Bachmann(not specifically in that order) will all be in a very (within a percentage point) of each other

[terp40hitch]

My predictions so far (Republicans):

Iowa: Huckabee comes in 1st, DeMint in 2nd, Bush in a close 3rd, Bachmann also in a close 4th, Giuliani in 5th and Carolla in 6th

Bush can end in 2nd, but at the moment, I'd say 3rd

I definitely think Huckabee is winning Iowa but DeMint, Bush, and Bachmann(not specifically in that order) will all be in a very (within a percentage point) of each other

I think the 2nd and 3rd place will both be pretty close (not something like, 0.2%, but more like in 2016, with 1.2% separating both candidates), the 4th place will not be that close but I still think it will be close-ish.

Since Bush is losing the momentum I see both DeMint and Bachmann surging in the final month and if Bush gets fourth it will be probably like a 0.7% margin between the third-place finisher

[terp40hitch]

Also, do the Democrats have to reach 15% at caucus locations to matter like IRL?

[terp40hitch]

I can't even guess how the Republican primary will turn out but here is my democratic primary predictions:

Iowa
1st: Michele Obama
2nd: Joe Biden
3rd: Russ Feingold
4th: Phil Bredesen
5th: Howard Dean
6th: Evan Bayh

New Hampshire
1st: Michele Obama
2nd: Russ Feingold
3rd: Joe Biden
4th: Howard Dean
5th: Evan Bayh
6th: Phil Bredesen

Nevada
1st: Joe Biden
2nd: Michele Obama
3rd: Russ Feingold
4th: Howard Dean
5th: Phil Bredesen
6th: Evan Bayh

South Carolina
1st: Michele Obama
2nd: Joe Biden
3rd: Phil Bredesen
4th: Evan Bayh
5th: Russ Feingold
6th: Howard Dean

Florida
1st: Michele Obama
2nd: Joe Biden
3rd: Phil Bredesen
4th: Evan Bayh
5th: Russ Feingold
6th: Howard Dean

[terp40hitch]

will you do coverage like what Lumine did in his 2012 election game?

[terp40hitch]

I have a feeling that he would do the same coverage that UWS would do

What coverage is that?

here is the example:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281063.325

[terp40hitch]

Anyway. When will we get Iowa?

Turn closes at 12:00 central so probably around 1 or 2 am central

[terp40hitch]

will there be a county map? (I would really want to see that)

Also here is the popular vote (I found it off of the number of caucus-goers IRL and divided by your percentage)

Mike Huckabee (9): 24,495
Jim DeMint (4): 24,239
Michele Bachmann (3): 24,093
Jeb Bush (3): 23,036
Rudy Giulana (3): 22,015
Adam Carolla: 3,620

[terp40hitch]

will there be a county map? (I would really want to see that)

Also here is the popular vote (I found it off of the number of caucus-goers IRL and divided by your percentage)

Mike Huckabee (9): 24,495
Jim DeMint (4): 24,239
Michele Bachmann (3): 24,093
Jeb Bush (3): 23,036
Rudy Giulana (3): 22,015
Adam Carolla: 3,620

What about the Democrats?

They don't record how many people caucus in a Democratic caucus so i can't do it

[terp40hitch]

hopefully my third is like Marco Rubio's third

[terp40hitch]

hopefully my third is like Marco Rubio's third

You mean you get hyped up by everyone but you then have a pitiful performance in New Hampshire and go on to lose your homestate, thus dropping out?

Well, how good he was doing before the debate

[terp40hitch]

When should we except the turn to come up today?

[terp40hitch]

Even after Haley’s endorsement I still think DeMint is winning SC

[terp40hitch]

Even after Haley’s endorsement I still think DeMint is winning SC

I was already leading polls over DeMint (which should expand after my win presumably), so I wouldn't guarantee a DeMint win.

It isn’t guaranteed a win for DeMint but I could see him doing what Bachmann and DeMint did in Iowa where they surged with their support while cutting at Jeb and Huckabee’s support

[terp40hitch]

Any updates on wx internet?

[terp40hitch]

Too late to rejoin?

Maybe as DJ Trump again but just know you will be polling at 1% and 2% since states are already voting

[terp40hitch]

Will the new turn include Minnesota, Maine, Missouri and Colorado polling?

[terp40hitch]

I apologize for not getting it in tonight. I'll just need to finish up state polling in the morning, and then I'll post.

It’s ok, everybody needs their sleep