Forward? – A 2012 Election Game (Sign Up and Rules Thread)

[terp40hitch]

Does anybody have a Prediction map with all the new changes

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February Primary Predictions
Nevada - Solid Paul
Maine - Tossup between Brown & Paul
Minnesota - Lean Bachmann
Missouri - Solid Fletcher
Colorado - Likely Fletcher
Arizona - Tossup
Michigan - Likely Fletcher

My February Prediction
Nevada:Solid Paul
Maine:Likely Paul
Minnesota:Lean Bachmann
Missouri: Likely Fletcher
Colorado: Lean Fletcher
Arizona: Tossup between Paul and Fletcher
Michigan: Lean Fletcher

[terp40hitch]

February Primary Predictions
Nevada - Solid Paul
Maine - Tossup between Brown & Paul
Minnesota - Lean Bachmann
Missouri - Solid Fletcher
Colorado - Likely Fletcher
Arizona - Tossup
Michigan - Likely Fletcher

My February Prediction
Nevada:Solid Paul
Maine:Likely Paul
Minnesota:Lean Bachmann
Missouri: Likely Fletcher
Colorado: Lean Fletcher
Arizona: Tossup between Paul and Fletcher
Michigan: Lean Fletcher

I think you're really underestimating Fletcher's lead in Missouri. His last lead was by 19%, and has a key surrogate that's been campaigning in that state. I'd paint it solid Fletcher.

The new candidate's chance will rely on the first primaries in February. Brown has a very key opportunity up in Maine to gain momentum. Bachmann has a key opportunity in Minnesota. Santorum doesn't really have much. He'd have to make a surprise win in a state like Minnesota or Arizona.

But seeing as Fletcher already has a lot of momentum already (and Paul does too admittedly), I think Fletcher and Paul will be the main two dueling it out however Paul's foreign policy stances will hinder him.

I don't see much chance for Santorum either except if he pulls a win in Michigan but he will have to fight Bachmann and Fletcher for it. In Missouri I see Bachmann pulling it closer since she is conservative like Fletcher but she doesn't carry the baggage

[terp40hitch]

will the next turn be posted in a few?

Hopefully

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When is the new update coming?

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Even If Manson was allowed to run he had no chance of a win since Carolla already has the outsider vote

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New turn up soon?

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I am not planning on doing this any time soon but when can we announce our vp picks

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I am not planning on doing this any time soon but when can we announce our vp picks

Presumably at the convention if you are the nominee

Maybe somebody could pull a Ted Cruz

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Vote By Gender(What I think it would be)

Men:
Fletcher:32%
Paul:27%
Carolla:21%
Brown:9%
Bachmann:8%
Santorum:2%

Women:
Fletcher:31%
Paul:23%
Bachmann:19%
Carolla:18%
Brown:8%
Santorum:1%

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GOP Primary Minority Demographic Polling (what i think it'd be)

African- Americans
Fletcher: 70%
Brown: 13%
Paul: 9%
Carolla: 6%
Bachmann: 1%
Santorum: 1%

Hispanic- Americans
Paul: 48%
Carolla: 24%
Fletcher: 20%
Brown: 5%
Bachmann: 2%
Santorum: 1%

Asian- Americans
Carolla: 36%
Fletcher: 32%
Paul: 25%
Brown: 3%
Bachmann: 3%
Santorum: 1%

I agree that Fletcher is leading the AA vote, but I'm really not sure about the Hispanic (and Latino vote in general) and the Asian vote, I'd expect Brown to be polling at least a little higher with Hispanics and Latinos, and I have no idea about the Asian vote.

I wouldn't expect Brown to begin the race with massive polling from Latinos, and most of his support would probably come from White Voters in the Northeast. I think the Asian vote would be split between the three original candidates.

I agree with the rankings of Carolla,Fletcher, Santorum and Paul but I think your overrating Brown since he is little known and little experience and Bachmann is being underrated since she was a well known conservative before she got in the race

[terp40hitch]

GOP Primary Minority Demographic Polling (what i think it'd be)

African- Americans
Fletcher: 70%
Brown: 13%
Paul: 9%
Carolla: 6%
Bachmann: 1%
Santorum: 1%

Hispanic- Americans
Paul: 48%
Carolla: 24%
Fletcher: 20%
Brown: 5%
Bachmann: 2%
Santorum: 1%

Asian- Americans
Carolla: 36%
Fletcher: 32%
Paul: 25%
Brown: 3%
Bachmann: 3%
Santorum: 1%

I agree that Fletcher is leading the AA vote, but I'm really not sure about the Hispanic (and Latino vote in general) and the Asian vote, I'd expect Brown to be polling at least a little higher with Hispanics and Latinos, and I have no idea about the Asian vote.

I wouldn't expect Brown to begin the race with massive polling from Latinos, and most of his support would probably come from White Voters in the Northeast. I think the Asian vote would be split between the three original candidates.

I agree with the rankings of Carolla,Fletcher, Santorum and Paul but I think your overrating Brown since he is little known and little experience and Bachmann is being underrated since she was a well known conservative before she got in the race

The vast majority of Bachmann supporters would probably be white.

That is probably true since she is a hard core conservative and from one of the most white states in the union

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Can we post our Campaign schedules as of rn?

You should wait till he post state polls

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There we go. Bear in mind I had to make some guesses for Republican polling.

Did my endorsements get approved for this round

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how many ads are we allowed per turn

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Just updating those predictions I made

Nevada - Solid Paul
Maine - Very likely Paul
Minnesota - Tossup
Colorado - Very likely Fletcher
Missouri - Solid Fletcher
Arizona - Solid Fletcher
Michigan - Titanium Fletcher (I don't think anybody will pull a Bernie Sanders style of upset, no way)
Washington - Tossup

Updated Prediction from Me

Nevada: Solid Paul
Maine: Solid Paul
Minnesota: Threeway tossup between Bachmann, Paul and Fletcher
Missouri: Solid Fletcher
Colorado: Likely Fletcher
Arizona: Solid Fletcher
Michigan: Solid Fletcher
Washington: Lean Carolla

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FOXNEWS BREAKING NEWS: Bachmann backed by Pawlenty and Noem

Megyn Kelly-"Welcome back to the Kelly File and right now we have breaking news from the Bachmann campaign. Bachmann has been endorsed by both former Governor of Minnesota Tim Pawlenty and Representative from South Dakota Kristi Noem.

The office of Pawlenty wrote in his statement-" I have decided to endorse the only true conservative in the race and the only conservative that will actually bring real change to Washington. That is why I ask my fellow Republicans to support Michele Bachmann for president." also the office of Noem wrote-"We need a tea party conservative in the white house next year and that is why I am so excited to endorse Michele Bachmann. We need real change next year and we don't need to nominate another corrupt Washington politician. Bachmann knows how to bring change and bring conservative values to Washington."

Both Noem and Pawlenty will campaign with Bachmann this week leading up to the Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado caucus. Bachmann hopes that with these endorsements she will be able to win Minnesota and win a strong second in Missouri. Whether or not that happens these endorsements are a big deal since it shows she can win support from both the Tea-Party and establishment Republicans"

You didn't have to make such a big deal out of 2 endorsements

Why not

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Paul's response to Bachmann's recent ad attacking him

You might have seen that Bachmann ad where she attacked me, there they go again, attacking me as the "candidate who doesn't want a safe america and wants bad things to troops, scary!", just one more of these baseless attacks! Just one more of those attacks that are made by supposedly, fiscal conservatives, but that only support measures that will make the debt grow!

It's funny how people attack me for being fiscally conservative, we need to acknowledge that we can't have tax cuts while we increase military spending, this isn't sustainable, just look how the Bush administration ended up when talking about the debt! It is horrible, we need to think about our future generations, and if we don't reduce both military and social spending while reducing taxes, we won't reduce our debt, candidates like Bachmann might want to pass the impression they are fiscally conservative, but a fiscal conservative simply can't support spending like this, that only makes our debt grow and will hurt the future generations!

What Bachmann wants is only more and more war and more and more debt by intervening in countries with problems that don't involve us, by rising spending when this is the last thing we need, what I want is something different from most Republicans, I want peace, I want we to learn from our past errors, I want to bring back our sons and daughters, I want to stop intervening in affairs that don't involve us, I want to open ourselves to cooperation, I want to reduce military spending and spend only the necessary for the defense of our country!

Her ad says my plan is dangerous because of other nations that threaten us, but I want to know what nations are these! Our military spending is more than all the next 10 countries combined, our military is the most powerful in the world! What is the threat? Russia? We don't live in the cold war anymore! Al Qaeda? We aren't even trying to defeat them, we are only helping them to grow! Iran? The UN already said they don't have nukes!

There is no such thing as a threat to America because our country is great and strong, and it will continue this way of I'm elected, but with the difference that it won't bankrupt us in the long run and won't generate more terrorism because of needless wars!

Sooo... does Ron Paul support cutting military spending? He didn't IRL so I'm confused

As far as I know, he supported "cutting military spending but not defense spending", something like investing the necessary to defend America but not in wars like the one in Afghanistan and etc...

You might not of wanted to say anything good about the UN since many libertarians and Republicans hate the UN

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I vote against an extension.

Just let us all finish our campaigning. I don't think any GOP candidate has posted their schedule yet.

2 candidates have and Carolla has been posting his

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When will the results be up?

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Are you going to let Brown and Paul post debate answer

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is the next turn about to be posted?

he needs to put up the results first

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While nothing is official until I see Michigan and Super Tuesday polling, I think it's time to congratulate  Senator Clinton on becoming the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Dkrol, you've done a wonderful job.

-Note, Biden hasn't officially dropped out yet, and won't until polls for Michigan/Super Tuesday are released...but if they are, what I believe they'll look like, I have every reason to believe he will drop out.

You should stay in, you are doing as well as Bernie did in 2016

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Meanwhile, the reps have to find out who is their choice After Christie left

I think it'll be a Bachmann v. Paul v. Fletcher with Fletcher as the front-runner

I would say Carolla too since he could make a play out west and New York

[terp40hitch]

Meanwhile, the reps have to find out who is their choice After Christie left

I think it'll be a Bachmann v. Paul v. Fletcher with Fletcher as the front-runner

I would say Carolla too since he could make a play out west and New York

Washington is his last shot at winning a primary. Without that, I don't see momentum for him.

I see that too but if he does win he could have serious momentum going into Super Tuesday