America's Fate: 2020 Election Game (Gameplay Thread)

[x-Guy]

Turn 1: November 1st - November 10th, 2019:

IN THE NEWS:

2020 Kicks off! Republican primary crowded. Democrats brace for a potential competitive primary.

The 2020 campaign is now underway and the candidates are now in campaign mode. For the Democrats, President Clinton is unsurprisingly leading the helm while unexpected candidate Governor Gina Raimondo is challenging the President on her Progressive credentials. You also have democratic darling Beto O' Rourke running as well who became famous after a narrow defeat in the Texas senate race. Until the candidates make progress, its heavily expected that democrats will stick with Clinton. For the Republicans you have Former Governor John Kasich leading the pack but not by much. The Republican primary is considered to be close between the candidates as none have stuck out in the electorate. Behind Kasich is the Governor of Tennessee, Bill Haslam who is mostly likely to appeal to the southern and conservative vote. You also have northeast Governors Charlie Baker of MA & Phil Scott of VT. How these two perform in New Hampshire will certainly be interesting. There's also former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky who were also previous contenders in 2016 with experience. In order to win these Republicans have to get their names out there and stat building bases! The stage is now set for 2020!

Republican Primary Poll

Frmr Governor John Kasich: 16%

Governor Bill Haslam: 13%

Governor Charlie Baker: 11%

Governor Phil Scott: 9%

Frmr Governor Jeb Bush: 7%

Senator Rand Paul: 6%

Undecided: 38%

Democrat Primary Poll

President Hillary Clinton: 70%

Frmr Representative Beto O' Rourke: 12%

Governor Gina Raimondo: 5%

Undecided: 13%

Upcoming Primaries:
February 1st, 2020 - Iowa Caucus (Both Parties)
February 9th, 2020 - New Hampshire Primary (Both Parties)
February 20th, 2020 - Nevada Caucuses (Democratic)
February 20th, 2020 - South Carolina Primary (Republican)

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Monday, 31st of December. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: If your candidate is polling between 6-10% nationally then you are able to air one add. If your candidate lands between 10-16% nationally then you have the option of airing two ads. If you poll high enough between 16-20% and above then you're now able to air 3 ads.

[x-Guy]

Turn 2: November 11th - November 23rd, 2019:

IN THE NEWS:

Networks release primary state polling in Iowa & New Hampshire!

Average IA Primary Polling data (R):
Governor Nikki Haley: 25%
Frmr Governor John Kasich: 19%
Senator Rand Paul: 14%
Governor Phil Scott: 11%
Governor Charlie Baker: 9%
Frmr Governor Jeb Bush: 6%
Representative Elise Stefanik: 4%
Undecided: 11%

Average IA Primary Polling data (D):

President Hillary Clinton: 45%
Governor Gina Raimondo: 21%
Frmr Representative Beto O Rourke: 19%
Undecided: 15%

Various news networks have finally released their state polling results during the month of November! Some are a bit mixed. However all of them show a contentious race for Republicans especially with the entry of South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. For the state of Iowa we have a close race with the top three contenders being Haley, Kasich, & Paul. In the lower tier we have Governors Scott, Baker, Bush, & alongside representative Elise Stefanik who lacks much name recognition within the state. For the Democrats Hillary Clinton holds on to a decent lead in the Iowa Primary at first while Raimondo lands in second narrowly ahead of Representative O Rourke. The most interesting factor of this race will be vote splitting. If either Democratic challenger hopes to defeat Clinton in this stronghold then they will have to compete forcefully. The most important factor of these two races will undoubtedly be the undecided vote. This most likely won't be the last poll and its still anyone's game. For all of these candidates the most important poll will be the official results.

Average NH Primary Polling data (R):
Governor Phil Scott: 20%
Frmr Governor John Kasich: 18%
Governor Charlie Baker: 15%
Senator Rand Paul: 11%
Governor Nikki Haley: 9%
Representative Elise Stefanik: 7%
Frmr Governor Jeb Bush: 5%
Undecided: 15%

Average NH Primary Polling data (R):

President Hillary Clinton: 44%
Governor Gina Raimondo: 38%
Frmr Representative Beto O Rourke: 13%
Undecided: 5%

For Republicans the state of New Hampshire will be an extremely contentious state. The top three include Governor Phil Scott from the neighboring state of Vermont as he holds his extremely small lead against John Kasich in second and fellow northeasterner, Governor Charlie Baker of Massachusetts in third. In the lower tier we have Senator Rand Paul in fourth being only four points behind Baker thanks to New Hampshire's libertarian population and previous Ron Paul supporters. Whether or not Paul can win depends if he can expand his base. The final two in the poll are Elise Stefanik & Jeb Bush. If Stefanik wants to win New Hampshire she'll have to improve with name recognition. It is extremely rare that a little known representative wins the Presidency. For the Democrats, Clinton is in unsafe territory against Raimondo in New Hampshire while vote splitting isn't much of an issue with O Rourke in a distant third. While the results may be closer this election, it is highly possible that Clinton may face defeat in New Hampshire for the second time as she did against Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

National Republican Primary Poll

Governor Nikki Haley: 17%

Governor John Kasich: 13%

Governor Phil Scott: 11%

Governor Charlie Baker: 11%

Senator Rand Paul: 9%

Representative Elise Stefanik: 7%

Frmr Governor Jeb Bush: 5%

Undecided: 27%

In the Republican race we now see that the newest contender, South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has taken the lead. This is most likely due in part to a better name recognition than Haslam who has since dropped out. Whether or not Haley will increase her lead from Kasich has yet to be seen as she only leads him by 4 percent. Behind Kasich is a stalemate between both North East Governors Phil Scott & Charlie Baker. Their dynamic will almost certainly affect this race. In fourth you have Senator Rand Paul who has only climbed up the polls since Haslam dropped out of the race and a lack of campaigning from Bush and good name recognition from last election. Behind Paul you have Representative Stefanik who was endorsed by Haslam. However, despite the endorsement her campaign is struggling with a lack of name recognition nationwide. She will really have to get her name out there if she wants a fighting chance.

National Democratic Primary Poll

President Hillary Clinton: 65%

Governor Gina Raimondo: 11%

Frmr Representative Beto O' Rourke: 9%

Undecided: 15%

In the democratic Primary Clinton's lead has only slightly reduced after various attacks and criticisms from Governor Raimondo who has now climbed up since the first poll to second place due to a lack of campaigning from Representative O Rourke. Whether or not Raimondo's support will increase has yet to be seen. However, top democratic officials are already hoping that it doesn't come to a contested primary. The undecideds have also slightly increased as well. While many pundits doubt Clinton can be beat the only thing that matters will be her performance in the primaries.

Upcoming Primaries:
February 1st, 2020 - Iowa Caucus (Both Parties)
February 9th, 2020 - New Hampshire Primary (Both Parties)
February 20th, 2020 - Nevada Caucuses (Democratic)
February 20th, 2020 - South Carolina Primary (Republican)

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Wednseday, January 9th. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: If your candidate is polling between 6-10% nationally then you are able to air one add. If your candidate lands between 10-16% nationally then you have the option of airing two ads. If you poll high enough between 16-20% and above then you're now able to air 3 ads.

[x-Guy]

First Democratic Debate hosted by CNN: Nov. 18th, 2019

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