WV House Megathread

[BlueDogs2020]

District 1; Safe R
McKinley probably gets 65% of the vote

District 2: Likely R
Sort of a dark horse race that has been largely ignored. Mooney is an incredibly weak incumbent; he is very clearly a carpetbagger, and has HUGELY underperformed the GOP ticket; in 2014, he won by only 3% while Capito won the district by over 30% for the Senate race. In 2016, he won by about 16% against a nobody while Trump won by about 40%. Sergent is also decent.

District 3: Tossup (Tilt D if forced to choose)
Ojeda is an incredibly strong candidate as we all know. Now that we have more polling this can be deduced; Manchin will win the district by about 20%, so he needs to prevent crossover voters. Polling has been very close; Monmouth poll from today had Miller leading 48-45; but I think Ojeda probably has like a 51% chance. His fundraising has also been incredible; he raised 1.4 million last quarter to Millers 400,000.
The DCCC has also committed over 400,000$ to the race; their poll last month had Ojeda leading 48-44.