Sounds radical, but... I'd pull every single dollar out of every single race where we're down by more than ten points. And if we're up by more than 10 points we can give those races a lot less funding. Either we have the race locked down (if we're more than 10 points ahead) or we're not going to win (if we're more than 10 points down), and we shouldn't waste too much money on those races. That way we can direct our focus and resources to the truly competitive seats. Specific to 2020, we should give more focus to protecting weak incumbents, like Cunningham, Horn and McAdams. Technically Collin Peterson of MN07 was weak too, but I don't think more money would have changed the outcome...the district was just too polarised and too pro-Trump to keep reelecting Peterson, and if not 2022, he'd be done by 2022. And he's not even really a party-line vote; he supports gun rights and is socially more conservative than every other House Democrat and a couple of House Republicans; and he also voted against impeaching Trump in 2019 (the only Democrat other than now-Republican Jeff van Drew). So I'd focus on really preserving incumbents like Cunningham; Horn; McAdams; Torres Small; etc. And I'd focus on holding IA02, which flipped red by seven votes after Democrat Dave Loebsack retired - just a few hundred dollars, and probably less, could have swung the race, made Marienette Miller-Meeks a four-time loser - and in the process gotten us Rita Hart instead of Miller-Meeks.
(I included basically every district that went red, but by less than 5 points.)
Was all the funding you talked about specifically DCCC funding? Also, the DCCC's first priority is to protect incumbents so any sign of a due-paying member being slightly vulnerable, they'll spend, even if it turns out they don't necessarily need to.
This is all well and good too, and I agree with a targeted strategy but for the future it also needs to be determined which races were in that column. Part of the problem was not really knowing that they should've spent money in those races.
