Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record (user search)
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  Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record (search mode)
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Author Topic: Evaluate your 2020/2021 Prediction Record  (Read 923 times)
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,149
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

« on: March 07, 2021, 04:01:11 PM »

I did make a prediction, but not on Atlas:

Presidency: I did think Biden would win by about the EV margin he did - I never thought Trump would lose OH, IA or TX. I predicted Biden would win all the states he did except for GA, but the extent to which that was an accurate prediction or a built in lean towards the Republicans.

Senate: I was a bit off in the Senate races. Again, I didn't think TX, KS, AK, IA, MT or SC would go blue. Again I was wrong about Georgia, I thought even if it got to a runoff, the GOP would win, and in Perdue's case I expected him to win outright. I was also wrong about ME like many.

House: Here, I was too bullish for Dems rather than the GOP. I thought the GOP would gain a handful of seats, including the two in IA, MN-07, OK-05, NM-02 and CA-21, but I never expected them to gain two seats in FL, two in Orange County, or SC-01 and UT-04. I thought the Dems would also gain TX-24 and that CT-05 would be closer.

Governor: In short, I was right!

I give myself a B+ since I owe my good predictions to being more generous to the GOP, rather than an actually accurate prediction in some cases, such as in GA.
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