British Columbia election 2021 (or earlier)

[beesley]

John Horgan is repeatedly cited as one of the most popular Premiers in Canada. If those polls are correct, then it's not that Horgan is doing much better, but the BC Liberals have lost a lot of support.

[beesley]

A Little Lord Fauntleroy style federal Liberal like Andrew Wilkinson would be particularly repulsive to conservatives in BC

Not that BC is as socially conservative as Alberta or the Prairies, but I wonder how many people he ticked off with his 'the BC Liberals are unequivocally pro-choice' party. There's less of a natural home for social conservatives like there is in other Western provinces.

[beesley]

Unlike Pauline Marois in 2012 or Stephen Harper in 2008, Horgan's government has survived pretty smoothly, having weathered the departure of Leonard Krog pretty well, so an early election with the line 'give me a majority mandate' might seem more opportunist than pragmatic.