Ohio Megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2024, 01:33:14 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Ohio Megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Ohio Megathread  (Read 12790 times)
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,145
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

« on: September 29, 2018, 04:17:22 AM »

I'll just do my ratings (no tossups) while there's a gap in the thread:

OH-01: Tilt R, but nearer to Tilt D than Lean R.
OH-02: Safe R.
OH-03: Safe D.
OH-04: Safe R.
OH-05: Safe R.
OH-06: Safe R. Clearly after 2012 it became a lost cause for Democrats.
OH-07: I would have said Safe R, but it appears it's actually Likely R. This is an awfully drawn district.
OH-08: Safe R. Davidson is effectively a freshman but is a good Rep.
OH-09: Safe D.
OH-10: Again, it should be Safe R, but I'll put it as Likely.
OH-11: Safe D. Safest district in the state.
OH-12: Likely R. I don't see this flipping but it is competitive, and there's the SE fallout.
OH-13: Safe D.
OH-14: Lean R, but nearer to Tilt R than Likely R. Joyce is in trouble but he should pull through.
OH-15: Safe R.
OH-16: Safe R. This race could have been competitive... but it just never did.
OH-Sen: Lean D, but nearer to Likely D than Tilt D/R.
Logged
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,145
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2018, 03:16:09 PM »

I'll just do my ratings (no tossups) while there's a gap in the thread:

OH-01: Tilt R, but nearer to Tilt D than Lean R.
OH-02: Safe R.
OH-03: Safe D.
OH-04: Safe R.
OH-05: Safe R.
OH-06: Safe R. Clearly after 2012 it became a lost cause for Democrats.
OH-07: I would have said Safe R, but it appears it's actually Likely R. This is an awfully drawn district.
OH-08: Safe R. Davidson is effectively a freshman but is a good Rep.
OH-09: Safe D.
OH-10: Again, it should be Safe R, but I'll put it as Likely.
OH-11: Safe D. Safest district in the state.
OH-12: Likely R. I don't see this flipping but it is competitive, and there's the SE fallout.
OH-13: Safe D.
OH-14: Lean R, but nearer to Tilt R than Likely R. Joyce is in trouble but he should pull through.
OH-15: Safe R.
OH-16: Safe R. This race could have been competitive... but it just never did.
OH-Sen: Lean D, but nearer to Likely D than Tilt D/R.

The only changes I will make now:

OH-Sen Lean D -> Likely D
OH-01 Tilt R -> Lean R
OH-12 Likely R -> Tilt R
OH-16 Safe R -> Likely R
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 10 queries.