Australian Election Prediction Contest

[Robespierre's Jaw]

1) ALP 79 seats - Libs/Nats 69 seats - Independents 2 seats

2) Batman VIC (ALP) 71 - 29 TPP (My electorate too)

3) Corangamite VIC (LIB) By about 0.2%

4) According to my predictions using the ABC's Election Calculator these are the seats that'll change hands.

• McMillan (VIC) LIB to ALP
• Deakin (VIC) LIB to ALP
• Dobell (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Bennelong (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Page (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Eden-Monaro (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Moreton (QLD) LIB to ALP
• Solomon (NT) LIB to ALP
• Bass (TAS) LIB to ALP
• Wentworth (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Stirling (WA) LIB to ALP
• Hasluck (WA) LIB to ALP
• Lindsay (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Braddon (TAS) LIB to ALP
• Parramatta (NSW) LIB to ALP
• Wakefield (SA) LIB to ALP
• Bonner (QLD) LIB to ALP
• Kingston (SA) LIB to ALP
• Makin (SA) LIB to ALP

5) Predict the TPP vote in the following, semi-randomly selected, divisions:

i) Bennelong ALP 52-48%
ii) Wentworth ALP 51-49%
iii) Braddon ALP 53-47%
iv) Solomon ALP 50-50%
v) Liechhardt LIB 54-46%
vi) Melbourne Ports ALP 55-45%