Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[Coastal Elitist]

California voting started October 8th. I wonder when they will start posting ballot returns cause I haven't seen anything yet.

[Coastal Elitist]

Early California absentee returns:

Democrats 82,050
Republicans 62,087
Other 44,856

Returns in San Diego and the Central Valley with the exception of Nunes's district are very low. Also voters on both sides in Orange County seem to be energized.

[Coastal Elitist]

California update: 397,976 ballots

Democrats 168,644 42%
Republicans 134,347 34%
Other 94,985 24%

[Coastal Elitist]

Wondering if anyone can offer insight as to why the early vote totals so highly favor Democrats (and particularly 18-34 year olds) in CA-21, when most of the other districts according to this site seem to have totals in line with what is expected.

Is it possible that Cox is wiping the floor with Valadao even though it was only expected to be slightly competitive?

Total ballots mailed: 151,772
Democrats: 67,796 (45%)
Republicans: 41,821 (28%)
Ind/Other: 42,155 (28%)

See Cruz Will Win's link to the site as I can't post links.

That's total ballots mailed out. This district has a terrible return rate, so no. It was a similar number of mailed out ballots for the primary and well you saw the results of that.

[Coastal Elitist]

California update: 10/22 (over 800,000 ballots returned)

Democrats 337,317 42%
Republicans 277,838 35%
Other 189,036 23%

[Coastal Elitist]

California update: 1,519,436 ballots have been returned as of 10/25

Democrats: 647,878 43%
Republicans: 519,466 34%
Other: 352,092 23%

competitive districts:
         Democrats-Republicans-Other  - Total
24   22,121   38.5%   22,129   38.5%   13,277   23.1%   57,527
4   14,862   31.4%   22,302   47.2%   10,133   21.4%   47,297
48   14,124   30.9%   21,586   47.2%   9,988   21.9%   45,698
45   13,502   30.2%   21,056   47.1%   10,188   22.8%   44,746
49   14,773   33.3%   19,132   43.1%   10,446   23.6%   44,351
7   16,249   39.8%   15,518   38.0%   9,108   22.3%   40,875
10   13,535   40.5%   13,780   41.3%   6,068   18.2%   33,383
39   8,364   30.1%   13,422   48.2%   6,038   21.7%   27,824
25   8,942   34.8%   11,098   43.2%   5,624   21.9%   25,664
21   7,258   43.4%   6,231   37.2%   3,244   19.4%   16,733

[Coastal Elitist]

California update. Vote by congressional district sorted by highest vote total as of 10/26.

CD   Democratic   %   Republican   %   Other   %   Total 24   24,656   38.7%   24,401   38.3%   14,585   22.9%   63,642 2   31,432   52.7%   14,273   23.9%   13,901   23.3%   59,606 1   17,761   30.5%   28,199   48.5%   12,205   21.0%   58,165 7   22,641   39.8%   21,657   38.0%   12,650   22.2%   56,948 5   28,671   53.2%   12,935   24.0%   12,324   22.9%   53,930 4   16,572   31.5%   24,855   47.2%   11,266   21.4%   52,693 48   16,036   31.0%   24,374   47.1%   11,315   21.9%   51,725 45   15,198   30.2%   23,687   47.0%   11,489   22.8%   50,374 18   23,102   47.2%   12,003   24.5%   13,876   28.3%   48,981 49   15,202   33.1%   19,940   43.4%   10,762   23.4%   45,904 11   23,689   51.6%   12,056   26.3%   10,152   22.1%   45,897 15   19,982   49.0%   10,150   24.9%   10,617   26.1%   40,749 19   19,129   47.1%   10,118   24.9%   11,405   28.1%   40,652 23   10,655   26.5%   21,081   52.4%   8,502   21.1%   40,238 12   23,317   58.8%   3,998   10.1%   12,337   31.1%   39,652 52   14,111   36.5%   14,060   36.4%   10,490   27.1%   38,661 33   17,332   45.3%   11,337   29.7%   9,552   25.0%   38,221 3   14,932   39.4%   14,426   38.1%   8,541   22.5%   37,899 50   10,515   27.8%   18,713   49.5%   8,586   22.7%   37,814 26   15,302   40.5%   14,047   37.2%   8,403   22.3%   37,752 6   19,434   51.5%   9,429   25.0%   8,888   23.5%   37,751 22   12,068   32.0%   18,969   50.3%   6,644   17.6%   37,681 13   24,993   67.7%   3,374   9.1%   8,570   23.2%   36,937 8   11,303   30.7%   17,470   47.4%   8,059   21.9%   36,832 17   16,967   47.0%   7,478   20.7%   11,670   32.3%   36,115 20   18,120   51.3%   9,644   27.3%   7,563   21.4%   35,327 14   17,856   53.2%   6,493   19.3%   9,240   27.5%   33,589 10   13,535   40.5%   13,780   41.3%   6,068   18.2%   33,383 39   9,830   30.5%   15,369   47.6%   7,072   21.9%   32,271 9   13,986   43.5%   11,948   37.2%   6,217   19.3%   32,151 25   11,377   35.4%   13,692   42.6%   7,042   21.9%   32,111 53   13,850   44.2%   10,048   32.1%   7,419   23.7%   31,317 36   12,492   40.8%   12,179   39.8%   5,962   19.5%   30,633 47   11,569   41.2%   10,036   35.7%   6,470   23.0%   28,075 30   13,879   51.3%   7,118   26.3%   6,060   22.4%   27,057 31   11,464   42.8%   9,924   37.0%   5,406   20.2%   26,794 28   13,258   52.0%   5,739   22.5%   6,518   25.5%   25,515 21   9,793   41.4%   9,314   39.4%   4,526   19.2%   23,633 27   9,923   42.6%   7,356   31.5%   6,039   25.9%   23,318 16   10,215   44.5%   8,249   36.0%   4,473   19.5%   22,937 37   13,555   65.8%   2,468   12.0%   4,588   22.3%   20,611 42   6,037   29.6%   10,432   51.1%   3,952   19.4%   20,421 46   7,829   43.0%   6,558   36.0%   3,816   21.0%   18,203 38   8,002   45.7%   5,499   31.4%   4,008   22.9%   17,509 43   9,880   56.5%   3,817   21.8%   3,776   21.6%   17,473 51   8,299   47.7%   4,957   28.5%   4,131   23.8%   17,387 35   7,595   46.8%   5,143   31.7%   3,480   21.5%   16,218 41   7,100   44.1%   6,190   38.4%   2,810   17.5%   16,100 32   6,425   45.7%   4,435   31.6%   3,188   22.7%   14,048 34   7,877   59.6%   1,779   13.5%   3,568   27.0%   13,224 29   6,159   54.1%   2,361   20.7%   2,871   25.2%   11,391 44   6,558   62.2%   1,801   17.1%   2,183   20.7%   10,542 40   4,754   60.5%   1,474   18.8%   1,633   20.8%   7,861 756,217   42.9%   600,833   34.1%   406,868   23.1%   1,763,918

non atlas colors


The margin in CA-21 has shrunk Dems only have a slight lead now. Democrats should be concerned about CA-49 considering that Reps have a large lead compared to the primary when it was R +1. Republicans are also looking good in Orange County as well as the competitive districts CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48 and CA-49. Republicans are also turning out well in CA-3, CA-7, CA-10, CA-24, CA-36 and CA-52 Also, Latinos are not turning out well so far as evidenced by low vote totals in Los Angeles congressional districts.