Cardin's ground game is much better than I anticipated too. I participated in a massive lit drop today for a local County Councilman and Martin O'Malley. We dropped at least 15,000 pieces of lit and practically every house we hit, Cardin's camp had already been there. They claim they knocked on 30,000 doors today alone. Pretty impressive.
Over here in Montgomery County, I've gotten several pieces of mail from Cardin's campaign, plus one from Rales, but nothing from Mfume. What gives?
Though I have leaned to Cardin, after reading Nick's analysis the other day I have been reconsidering a vote for Mfume. I've also been plugging numbers into my calculator to see who has the best chance of winning, with estimates of percentages and turnout (how many blacks can Cardin lose and still win? How many whites does Mfume need?) I've concluded that either can win, depending on the circumstance, with their strengths balancing their weaknesses, though neither is a lock. I still haven't firmly made up my mind though. Got two more days.
Its a shame if the GOP can take some of the black vote from the Democrats this election as the Democratic ticket will virtually be all white. I support Mfume in the primary but I now have no doubt that Cardin will win. Despite the fact that this was a chance the Democrats had to elect a black Senator and make the country more diverse and individual.
That's a fair point, but even if Mfume doesn't win the primary the Democratic ticket won't necessarily be all white. Stu Simms may win for attorney general (I'm voting for him over my local State's Attorney), and Anthony Brown is on for lieutenant governor. Both are black.
And frankly the GOP candidates' attempt at hip-hopifying themselves looks a little silly in some ways. President Bush is Steele's "homeboy"? I think (and hope) that most blacks disagree and won't be taken in by the lingo but instead will vote on issues. Democratic support in the black community, regardless of the race of the candidates, is rooted enough so that they shouldn't feel the need to put on an act.
