SC, but only in theory, and only because Harrison is keeping the Senate race so close.
SC would be the ultimate icing on the cake though - both aesthetically (turn the East Coast blue!) and symbolically (Biden’s here today because of his primary win in SC).
Hey, Torrain: what would be a UK constituency equivalent of the Democrats flipping SC?
For the Conservatives? Probably a seat they took in 2019 -
Sedgefield, the old seat of Tony Blair. It was a solid Labour seat for decades, and Blair often brought politicians back there to talk strategy. It was close to being his Mar-a-lago.
Labour is greatly hampered by the SNP in the current environment. If they could win back Scotland, they’d have a far easier time in elections, and be in far better shape. Their SC (other than Boris Johnson’s Uxbridge-based seat) would probably be somewhere like
Na h-Eileanan an Iar, a consituency comprising the tiny islands of the Outer Hebrides. It’s a seat so Scottish it’s named in Gaelic, and it was the first seat the SNP ever won in a general election, about 50 years ago. Winning
Na h-Eileanan an Iar would mean a collapse in the SNP vote, and a Labour resurgence, to near 1997 levels.
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