2024 South Korean legislative election (April 10th)

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

GJP wiped out?

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Justice Party used to get PR votes from left wing DPK voters who want to push the party to the left. But the relationship between the two has deteriorated and Justice Party is criticized for being a one woman show. So left wing voters gravitated towards the Progressive Party who are more open to working with DPK. The highly polarized environment since Yoon became president also did not help.

I was surprised that the Progressives were able to work with the DPK. From what I've seen there's always been a lot of worry about working with anyone left of the JP because of accusations of being supported by NK (especially after the UPP fiasco)

Have the Progressives moderated or is the overton window just shifting enough for them to fit into the system now?

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

What's with that little PPP cluster in the middle of Seoul?

Go back a few pages for a discussion on this very topic. TL:DR: Gagnam money.

gangnam style

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Final PR results

PFP 36.67% - 18 seats
DAK 26.69% - 14 seats
RKP 24.25% - 12 seats
NRP 3.61% - 2 seats
LUP 2.26%
GJP 2.14%
NFP 1.70%

DAK snatched a seat from PFP with the last votes counted.

concerning that the ultra-crazies in the LUP got pretty close to entering the legislature.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

as always, fully proportional:

South Korea, 2024 (using proportional list vote)

PPP: 110 seats (+2)
DAK: 80 seats (-96)
RKP: 73 seats (+61)
NRP: 11 seats (+8)
LUP: 7 seats (+7)
G-JP: 7 seats (+7)
NFP: 5 seats (+4)
PTP: 1 seat (+1)
GNP: 1 seat (+1)
NRP: 1 seat (+1)
SP: 1 seat (+1)
FDP: 1 seat (+1)
CPK: 1 seat (+1)
GNUP: 1 seat (+1)

GNUP [0.3209 quotas] gets the last seat over ORP [0.3164 quotas] and PTP [1.3163 quotas] by 425 and 434 votes respectively. Lots of small parties (20+ didn't make it with most getting over 10k votes, combined enough for 2 or more seats) mean the quota was pushed down massively.


Far-Right  [LUP+SP+FDP]: 9 seats (+9)
Right-Wing [PPP+GNP+CPK]:  112 seats (+4)
Center-Right [NRP]: 11 seats (+8)
Center [NFP]: 5 seats (+5)
Center-Left [DAK+RKP]: 153 seats (-35)
Left [G-JP]: 7 seats (+7)
Far-Left: 0 seats

Big tent Anti-Yoon (PPP President) [PTP]: 1 seat (+1)
Cult [NRP]: 1 seat (+1)
Unknown [GNUP]: 1 seat (+1)

The wikipedia page is on the former GNUP, not current.

Likely majority: DAK+RKP (153/300 seats)

even under the more favorable proportional system, Yoon would face a majority against him, at least 161 seats (DAK+RKP+G-JP+PTP)