Buffalo, NY - The Comeback Kid

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Obvious "it's Emerson" disclaimer, but interesting, given that other indicators suggest Brown might really be competitive in this race.
https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1425906180933648384

I think that the possibility of Brown leading in polls and losing in the end is decent. I see a number of people possibly not seeing his name on the ballot and assuming he dropped out or something, not realizing his campaign is a write in.

That said he is probably the narrow favorite now.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Obvious "it's Emerson" disclaimer, but interesting, given that other indicators suggest Brown might really be competitive in this race.
https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1425906180933648384

I think that the possibility of Brown leading in polls and losing in the end is decent. I see a number of people possibly not seeing his name on the ballot and assuming he dropped out or something, not realizing his campaign is a write in.

That said he is probably the narrow favorite now.

Agreed. Name recognition will probably secure him a decent portion of the vote, but whether it'll be enough is wholly unclear.

Apparently they had 2 different methodologies for 2 different contact methods looking at the poll. Brown got 64% in the one where he was explicitly listed. He got 40% in the one where he was not.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Tossup -> likely Brown.

Like I said before the ballot bit is the main thing holding him back and with that gone (is that even a write in at this point?) he’s likely to cruise to victory.