BACKGROUND: THE 2020, 2024, 2028 ELECTIONS
Sen. Kamala Harris/Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand: 304 EV, 51.23% PVPresident Donald Trump/Vice President Mike Pence: 234 EV, 45.56% PVHarris, coming out of a divisive primary and a brokered convention, chose Gillibrand as her running mate partially in an attempt to appease the left wing of the party. Trump's campaign crashed as a small recession occured, but his loyal base still turned out, making the PV gap much smaller than many believed it would be.
President Kamala Harris / Vice President Kirsten Gillibrand: ~380 EV, ~53% PVSenator Tom Cotton / Governor Bill Lee: ~150 EV, ~44% PVHarris proved to be quite popular, and her arch-conservative opponent ensured a strong victory for her. Texas narrowly flipped.
Senator Nikki Haley / Fmr. Senator Martha McSally: ~330 EV, ~52% PVVice President Kirsten Gillibrand / Governor Mark Herring: ~200 EV, ~ 46% PVA recession and conflict in the middle east led to Harris' approval plummeting. The popular Haley won back much of the south, and thanks to trends won the midwest quite handily. Minnesota was the closest state, followed by Arizona.