Post Random US Election County Maps Here (user search)
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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random US Election County Maps Here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random US Election County Maps Here  (Read 64464 times)
CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« on: December 12, 2017, 11:17:48 PM »

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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2017, 09:52:37 PM »


1999 Atlantic Republic Presidential Election Round 1 - May 1

Social Labor Party - 34%
Workers' Party - 25%
Conservative Party - 22%
Liberal Party - 12%
Christian Democratic Party - 5%
Socialist Party - 2%


1999 Atlantic Republic Presidential Election Round 2 - May 14

Social Labor Party - 53%
Workers' Party - 47%
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2018, 12:17:43 AM »

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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #3 on: January 10, 2018, 11:10:10 AM »


This looks like OTL but with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and probably Florida flipped for Her.

(Also, as per the map, Oregon seems to be messed up. Why would Marion flip before Clackamas?)

Probably colored the wrong county.

And Klobuchar would win Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan comfortably but not like Obama did, while she would win Iowa and PA by a hair, while Trump wins Ohio, NC, and Georgia by a hair. Arizona is closer due to heinrich but still gop. Klobuchar wins Florida.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #4 on: January 10, 2018, 11:19:00 AM »

Not sure why Clay County (SD) wouldn’t vote for Klobuchar. It’s a university county and probably the most liberal place in the state.

Thanks, noted. Is there any way it could go Republican, for instance, due to low turnout? Is it a majority white school?
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2018, 03:43:14 PM »
« Edited: January 10, 2018, 03:50:44 PM by cookiedamage »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.

Why's that an issue? Both Tarrant County and Maricopa County were both won by similar margins, maybe something like 51-49 for both Klobuchar and Trump.

EDIT: Looks like Maricopa was closer than Tarrant, so I've edited my map and now have Tarrant AND Maricopa voting Dem by narrow margins.

How much would a Dem need to win Maricopa in order to flip AZ?
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #6 on: January 10, 2018, 05:07:01 PM »

Wait a sec, Tarrant County flips before Maricopa? Texas must have been really close.
Yeah, this map has some problems. Texas appears to be within low single digits despite the fact that Klobuchar is winning a narrow victory nationally.

Why's that an issue? Both Tarrant County and Maricopa County were both won by similar margins, maybe something like 51-49 for both Klobuchar and Trump.

EDIT: Looks like Maricopa was closer than Tarrant, so I've edited my map and now have Tarrant AND Maricopa voting Dem by narrow margins.

How much would a Dem need to win Maricopa in order to flip AZ?
By two percent or so. Less if Yuma County flips, too.

Well in that case I'll have her flip AZ.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #7 on: January 10, 2018, 07:11:00 PM »

You also have Summit OH voting for Trump against a midwesterner. Summit County is safe D as long as Ohio is <55% R. Safe D. Not Lean D. Not Likely D. Safe D. And I highly doubt that Wood County voting Democratic counts as <55% R.

Thanks, fixed.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2018, 03:40:01 AM »


* * *

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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2018, 10:28:02 PM »


Open the images in the new tab and zoom in.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #10 on: January 24, 2018, 08:21:45 PM »


Thanks Smiley
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #11 on: February 23, 2018, 11:37:34 PM »

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #12 on: February 24, 2018, 02:23:35 AM »

~ Posted in Wrong Area uwu ~
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2018, 07:59:36 PM »

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.
just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

Thanks! Do you guesstimate which counties go to whom? Or do you do it by state and use past elections as references? So if I did a ~% swing to Hillary and it made her win Pennsylvania, I'll just flip the most likely counties that would have enabled a win?
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #14 on: February 25, 2018, 06:23:31 PM »

How do you guys calculate posts like 5% swing to Nixon, 10% swing to Hillary? Plus, more importantly, how do y'all put that into map form/how do you know what counties to flip? Thanks, since I'd like to make some of these types of maps on my own.
just divide the percentage by two, add half of it to one candidate and talk half from another. For example, let’s say you want to do a 5% swing to Walter Mondale. What you would do is add 2.5% to Mondale and take 2.5% from Reagan.

Thanks! Do you guesstimate which counties go to whom? Or do you do it by state and use past elections as references? So if I did a ~% swing to Hillary and it made her win Pennsylvania, I'll just flip the most likely counties that would have enabled a win?
I do it by state using previous elections. You would flip whatever country margins fall into the amount ur swinging to

Thanks!
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #15 on: March 26, 2018, 04:25:19 PM »


Hopefully this doesn't disappear like my other maps have been.

it done did, girl
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