2020 Poll Hype Thread

[Eraserhead]

https://twitter.com/ChairmanBuckley/status/1219305048431194112
and another NH poll from an unknown source is also coming soon

We are supposed to get a Boston Globe/Suffolk poll of NH later today.

[Eraserhead]

CNN will have a national poll, they polled 509 for Democratic primary I think. They'll also have a poll with what they call 15 battleground polls which are oversampled in this national poll they put out. Probably today we'll see either democratic numbers or battleground poll

Where did you hear this?

[Eraserhead]

Monmouth national poll tomorrow.

The Democratic Primary numbers are coming tomorrow.

[Eraserhead]

Emerson national comes out tomorrow.

Is that confirmed?

[Eraserhead]

DMR will release a final Iowa poll on Feb. 1, two days before the Iowa caucus.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/caucus/2020/01/23/final-iowa-poll-on-2020-democratic-presidential-candidates-to-be-released-feb-1/4552569002/

That's gonna be scary.

[Eraserhead]

DMR's a great pollster and their final poll will possibly be right on within the margin of error. At least we'll have a good idea of the race to set expectations accordingly.

All together now: Polls. Do. Not. Predict. Exact. Outcomes.

Yeah, the DMR poll certainly has a good record but even they are far from perfect.

[Eraserhead]

Emerson doesn't include undecideds. It was Biden +6 last time.

Biden + 7 actually. The new one is Biden +3.

[Eraserhead]

I'm gonna bet the NBC poll will show a strong Klobuchar surge. Perhaps her around 15%?

Do we know for a fact that there is one? It's not really clear what she's referring to.

[Eraserhead]

Wow. What a disaster. RIP.

[Eraserhead]

Leaks:

Apparently, the poll showed Warren gaining and Bernie collapsing.

https://www.inquisitr.com/5868908/selzer-poll-bernie-sanders-free-fall

lmao. Oh yeah, that sounds totally legit...

[Eraserhead]

Leaks:

Apparently, the poll showed Warren gaining and Bernie collapsing.

https://www.inquisitr.com/5868908/selzer-poll-bernie-sanders-free-fall

lmao. Oh yeah, that sounds totally legit...

I like how Watson quotes the booing as part of the reason for the downfall, when that clearly would've happened entirely after the poll was conducted. Safe to say, he's full of crap and should be ashamed.

There are also people claiming to have spoken with "reliable sources" saying that Bernie had a big lead. These people are all pushing their own agendas and should be ignored.

[Eraserhead]

Nate Silver is implying that he saw the DMR numbers on Twitter and that the results were similar to their last poll fwiw.

[Eraserhead]

That'd be pretty brutal for Biden if accurate.

[Eraserhead]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1229449777676460032

Who the heck needs a VA Poll? We need SC & NV!

I mean VA votes a couple of days after SC, it wouldn't be the worst thing to get some kind of poll from there.

[Eraserhead]

I'd sure love to see a Massachusetts poll right now.

[Eraserhead]

Only National Poll that is now missing is CNN/ssrs! I've got a gut feel that they may pop one out too today.

Also Fox News.

[Eraserhead]

Just read an e-mail from Data For Progress that said they'll be polling South Carolina and more Super Tuesday states "in the coming days". There's not exactly a lot of time left so we shall see.

[Eraserhead]

Emerson is releasing a South Carolina poll at 5 PM ET.

[Eraserhead]

I wouldn't expect the media to pay for a lot more polls of the primary unless Sanders has a shocking resurgence in the upcoming contests. They're expensive and the race is pretty much over.

[Eraserhead]

New Fox News poll later today apparently

Nice.