Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 26476 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: April 19, 2016, 04:30:40 PM »

60% see Hillary as honest and trustworthy, I think the same as Ohio.

How does that compare to other states?

It was 59% in Wisconsin IIRC.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 04:33:07 PM »

60% see Hillary as honest and trustworthy, I think the same as Ohio.

How does that compare to other states?

It was 59% in Wisconsin IIRC.

It was 63% in Florida so...

So it might not tell us a whole lot either way.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 04:45:07 PM »

Clinton is obviously going to win but I'm not so sure about a blowout based on what I've seen so far.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 05:14:36 PM »

Most telling numbers:

21% African American, 13% Latino

18% would not vote for Sanders in a general election, only 13% would not vote for Clinton
21% have doubts about voting for Sanders in a general, 20% would have doubts about Clinton

They're not necessarily all that telling because I don't see them holding.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 05:56:44 PM »

CNN:

32% care most about experience, 29% honesty, 25% empathy, 11% electability

Is Sanders honest/trustworthy? 83% Yes
Is Clinton honest/trustworthy? 60% Yes

Best chance to win in November: Clinton 64%, Sanders 33%

I wonder who won on the empathy question. We know who won on the other three.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 06:32:03 PM »

That actually isn't too shabby for Sanders, he kept her below 10 points in her homestate.

If that's the actual result, sure. Big if.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 06:42:56 PM »

I've considered the fight for the nomination to be over for a while now but it would definitely be nice to see Sanders not completely blown out of the water tonight.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 07:30:13 PM »

benchmark politics thinks final tally will be 57/43 clinton

Is that based on actual exit poll information?
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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,707
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 07:34:35 PM »

benchmark politics thinks final tally will be 57/43 clinton

Is that based on actual exit poll information?

It's their number based on their demographic projections, mixed with exit poll information.

Eh... okay...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2016, 01:25:48 AM »

It's funny that despite the % differfence being similar to 2008 (57-40 v. 58-41; a mere 1 point difference), the county map look very, very diffrent

Bernie is at 42 FTR.

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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,707
United States


« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2016, 01:28:17 AM »

Here's the swing map 2008-2016 using standard Atlas shading. Apparently the people of Westchester County only just realized that she (kind of) lives there.



Nah, it's probably just that Sanders was an awful fit for that particular county while Obama was a pretty good one.
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