Official Final Prediction Thread

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Make your final predictions for various U.S. Senate and U.S. House races right here.

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U.S. Senate:

Republicans take control by adding 7 seats tonight and they hold another seat after the January runoff. The new makeup of the U.S. Senate will be 52 Republicans, 46 Democrats and 2 Independents (who will caucus with the Democrats).

Republican pickups:

AK (toughest one to predict - anything can happen here)
AR
CO (very close)
IA (very, very close)
MT
SD
WV

R+7

Upset prediction: Landrieu (D-LA) survives her December runoff.

U.S. House of Representatives:

Republicans will retain their majority and add about 5-10 seats.

R+5-10

Upset prediction: Doug Owens defeats Mia Love narrowly to hold UT-4 for the Democrats.

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I'm also gonna predict my local stuff with percentages:

NY-18

Maloney 53%
Hayworth 47%

NY-19

Gibson 57%
Eldridge 43%

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This is my final prediction for the Senate:



The race I'm most uncertain about is Alaska. I only expect Democratic victories in Louisiana and/or Georgia if the GOP wins 51+ seats today. if they're at 49 or 50 (no way they're worse than that IMO) then they'll be throwing everything they've got into those two races to make sure they have their Senate majority.

Brown winning while Udall survives? I wish I could make my prediction that interesting.

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Brown winning while Udall survives? I wish I could make my prediction that interesting.

They're both based on patterns I've noticed in past elections.

Democrats consistently do better than they poll in Colorado, and in New Hampshire the voters often have huge last-minute swings that the polls only pick up partially if at all

Good points. Who can forget the NH Democratic Primary in '08 or KEN BUCKKK? I think both will be very close and you could end up being right. Still had to take the boring route on those two races though because I think the swings are happening just a little too late in both. Definitely hope I'm wrong about CO!