Obama seems to be leading in OH and VA. Is there any plausible way Romney could win without those states? Fact is, because he never seriously contested PA or MI, he boxed himself into a very narrow strategy.
Nothing plausible, but possible.
Romney-Ryan gets a bare majority, 270-268.
Can I ask you why the you are giving Wisconsin to Romney? Please tell me the universe in which VA goes to Obama and WI goes to Romney.
Actually, the part that really doesn't work is Romney carrying Nevada. That's just not going to happen.