PREDICTIONS THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) (user search)
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  PREDICTIONS THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) (search mode)
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Author Topic: PREDICTIONS THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)  (Read 12910 times)
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,728
United States


« on: November 01, 2010, 07:23:18 PM »
« edited: November 02, 2010, 02:32:44 AM by Eraserhead »

I don't think I'm gonna go as in-depth here as I did with the gubernatorial predictions due to two factors: laziness and homework.

Senate

GOP +8 (PA, IN, IL, WI, AR, ND, CO & NV)

Democrats hold the chamber.

Notable Senate races:

NH: Ayotte (R) +12

NY: Schumer (D) +33

NY2: Gillibrand (D) +17

PA: Toomey (R) +4

DE: Coons (D) +14

WV: Chin-man (DINO) +4

OH: Portman (R) +16

KY: Paul (Objectivist) +8

SC: Greene (D) +52 (Don't count that one toward my total though.)

FL: Rubio (R) +13

AR: Boozehound (R) +16

MO: Blunt (Anti-Prohibition) +8

WI: Johnson (R) +6 Sad

IL: Kirk (R) +1

CO: Buck (R) +2

NV: Angle (R) +4

CA: Boxer (D) +6

OR: Wyden (D) +17

WA: Murray (D) +0.6

AK: Miller, maybe? I have no clue on the margin.

House

GOP +50 sounds about right. I guess it'd be more surprising if it was less than that than it would be if it was more though.

Republicans take over the chamber.

I'll predict my House race and the one next to me.

NY-20

Gibson 53% (GOP PICKUP)
Murphy 47%

NY-19

Hayworth 51% (GOP PICKUP)
Hall 49%

Preparing for bummers on both fronts so if either of them survives I'll be pleasantly surprised. Tongue

Oddly enough, I think Hall is definitely more likely to survive despite not fitting his district very well at all
ideologically. They wouldn't have sent Clinton in there for him if they didn't think he had a good shot.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,728
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2010, 12:00:10 AM »

Wow, you're quite optimistic.
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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,728
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2010, 12:54:46 AM »

Senate:

Alaska: Murkowski (I)*
Arkansas: Boozman (R)*
California: Boxer (D)
Colorado: Bennett (D)
Delaware: Coons (D)
Florida: Rubio (R)
Illinois: Kirk (R)*
Indiana: Coats (R)*
Kentucky: Paul (R)
Louisiana: Vitter (R)
Missouri: Blunt (R)
North Carolina: Burr (R)
Nevada: Reid (D)
New Hampshire: Ayotte (R)
New York: Gilibrand (D)
North Dakota: Hoeven (R)*
Ohio: Portman (R)
Oregon: Wyden (D)
Pennsylvania: Toomey (R)*
Washington: Murray (D)
West Virginia: Manchin (D)
Wisconsin: Johnson (R)*

I was 100% right. Suck it.

Damn. Very nice.
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