Abortion and weed will both get over 55%, with weed clearing 60% and maybe even 65%. I'm 50/50 on whether abortion actually clears 60%. The usual pattern is that more republicans support weed than abortion while it's the opposite with democrats (more oppose weed than abortion) so in a state with more republicans than democrats (as is the case with Florida), weed will always have the upper hand. I can see up to 40% of republicans supporting weed but only 30% for abortion. On the other side, maybe 10-15% of democrats will vote against abortion but 20% or even as much as 30% (especially older democrats) will oppose weed.
Abortion is a more partisan issue than marijuana, of course.
That's not true, at least according to polling. Obviously abortion is a stronger issue for people and actually influence who they vote for, but marijuana legalization is more bipartisan (which is not the same thing as saying that it has more overall support). That's because older democrats are lukewarm on marijuana while young republicans are mostly ok with it. For example, these are the exit polls from the Ohio referenda:
On abortion: Democrats were 92-8 in favor, republicans were 82-18 against and indys were 64-36 in favor;
On marijuana: Democrats were 79-21 in favor, republicans were 70-30 opposed and indys were 64-36 in favor.
Sources:
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2023/exit-polls/ohio/abortion-ballot-measure/0https://edition.cnn.com/election/2023/exit-polls/ohio/marijuana-legalization-ballot-measure/0As you can see, abortion was clearly the more partisan/polarized issue here.
