OK, the NCDC can't even get the year acurately predicted. Who thinks that they'll be able to predict 10 years?
It's generally easier to predict the average over a long period, than predict a single year.
My point is, they suck. I'm actually quite disappointed in the way the National Weather Service has been performing recently. The Storm Prediction Center is getting worse and worse at issuing watches, and they're too concerned with new technology that lets them issue warnings for a specifc part of the county. Well, that's all good and dandy, but if people aren't anticipating severe wx, then coming out and issuing a warning, even if it's specific down to the mile isnt going to do you any good.
Sorry for the rant.