CA PrimR: Survey USA: Romney's Lead Widens to 21%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: California President by Survey USA on 2012-04-02

Summary:

Romney:	44%
Santorum:	23%
Gingrich:	12%
Paul:	12%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Mitt Romney? Newt Gingrich? Ron Paul? Rick Santorum? Or one of the other Republican candidates?

Romney - 44%

Gingrich - 12%

Paul - 12%

Santorum - 23%

Other - 1%

Undecided - 8%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Santorum's going to have to win California to win the nomination.

Just ran the CNN calculator - at this point, I honestly think Santorum would have to win almost every May and June contest, and could definitely finish strong in April (A comfortable Pennsylvania win, staying competitive with Romney elsewhere and possibly a win in Delaware). California is a state I think Santorum will need to win in order to keep Romney from getting enough delegates. I don't think there's any realistic way that Santorum claims enough delegates - he's either convention or bust at this point.

Today, FOX said he'd have to win 80% of the delegates from here out to win the nomination.  If you assume Gingrich's delegates go to him, it ends up being a bit less than 80%, but it's not going to happen.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

He's not trying to get the magic number. He's trying to prevent Romney from getting there. I don't know why people can't see that.

People do see that, but, let's be honest, preventing Romney from getting the magic number isn't gonna happen either.