SurveyUSA June Governor Approvals

[Tender Branson]

Polls were all conducted on June 16 among 600 adults in each state:

Alabama: Bob Riley (R) - 59% Approve, 37% Disapprove

California: Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) - 24% Approve, 73% Disapprove

Iowa: Chet Culver (D) - 42% Approve, 51% Disapprove

Kentucky: Steve Beshear (D) - 48% Approve, 46% Disapprove

Minnesota: Tim Pawlenty (R) - 47% Approve, 50% Disapprove

Missouri: Jay Nixon (D) - 55% Approve, 36% Disapprove

New Mexico: Bill Richardson (D) - 48% Approve, 47% Disapprove

New York: David Paterson (D) - 18% Approve, 75% Disapprove

Oregon: Ted Kulongoski (D) - 39% Approve, 56% Disapprove

Virginia: Tim Kaine (D) - 53% Approve, 40% Disapprove

Washington: Christine Gregoire (D) - 37% Approve, 55% Disapprove

Wisconsin: Jim Doyle (D) - 33% Approve, 61% Disapprove

Kansas, Massachusetts and Ohio are not polled anymore.

[Tender Branson]

Recent-ish Approval Map of Governors:

[Tender Branson]

R2000/DailyKos Hawaii poll:

Gov. Linda Lingle (R): 51% Favorable, 43% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Hawaii Poll was conducted from June 15 through June 17, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/HI/311

[Tender Branson]

PPP is going to bless us with some news Sunday night:

"We're going to be releasing another poll showing a Democratic Governor in more perilous shape for reelection next year than is the current conventional wisdom on Sunday night...not our favorite thing to do but we just put out the numbers whether we like them or not. We'll have the rest of the release for that state over the course of the week."

Bill Ritter!

Ted Strickland!

Martin O'Malley!

Mike Beebe?

I'm guessing either Strickland or Ritter.

Strickland had 60% Approval Ratings just 1 month ago according to Quinnipiac.

Why should he trail those joke Republicans 1 month later ?

Mike Beebe had 70% approval, so I guess it's Culver.

[Tender Branson]

Kasich is a "joke" Republican?

My money is on it being Strickland.

With joke Republican I mean a currently weak candidate. Qunnipiac had him trailing Strickland 51-32 on May 6. Why should Kasich lead now ? Did Strickland have a sex-scandal or what ?

Uh ... Culver's approval was released this week, and it's been discussed extensively in this thread.  So it's got to be Ritter or Strickland, or someone else who we haven't been thinking about.

Culver was polled by SUSA. The upcoming poll tomorrow is from PPP, and they might have polled Iowa too. But Ritter is possible too.

[Tender Branson]

With joke Republican I mean a currently weak candidate. Qunnipiac had him trailing Strickland 51-32 on May 6. Why should Kasich lead now ? Did Strickland have a sex-scandal or what ?

Because that was before Kasich was even officially in. I'm sure he's gotten plenty of coverage in Ohio since jumping in the race. Keep in mind too, that PPP had Portman leading in OH in their last poll while Quinnipiac has always shown the Dems up.

To me "perlious shape" means trailing. I can't see how Kasich gains 25 points in 4 weeks ...

[Tender Branson]

PPP's previous poll of Ohio:

Strickland 45%
Kasich 39%

So, it wouldn't exactly be a 25-30 point swing.

I wonder why there's such a big spread between Quinnipiac and PPP ...

Or maybe it could be John Lynch?

Unlikely. Lynch had 70% approval ratings 1 month ago when University of NH polled him.

[Tender Branson]

I'd really like to see some new numbers on Quinn. I don't know quite how popular he has remained or will remain in the budget crisis.

The latest Quinn poll is rather new, conducted by Rasmussen on June 9:

57% Approve
41% Disapprove

55% Favorable
39% Unfavorable

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/illinois/toplines/toplines_illinois_june_9_2009

[Tender Branson]

Mark Parkinson (D-KS/SurveyUSA):

46% Approve
36% Disapprove

600 Adults, June 12-14

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=174e6035-ac9c-4691-a47e-d58be20b94d0

[Tender Branson]

Bev Perdue (D-NC):

25% Approve
55% Disapprove

If you were going to blame a politician for the current problems with the economy, would it be George W. Bush, Barack Obama, or Bev Perdue?

Bush: 56%
Obama: 37%
Perdue: 6%

Who do you hold more responsible for the current problems with the economy?

Obama: 57%
Perdue: 43%

PPP surveyed 767 North Carolina voters from July 10th to 12th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_714.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Tim Kaine D-VA (Rasmussen)

55% Approve
43% Disapprove

48% Favorable
44% Unfavorable

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/virginia/toplines/toplines_virginia_governor_election_july_14_2009