GA-08: Rep. Marshall (D) in another tough race

[Tender Branson]

Marshall (D) - 49
Goddard (R) - 45

McCain - 56
Obama - 40

SurveyUSA poll of 634 likely voters taken Oct. 25-26 for Roll Call. It had a 4-point margin of error. Numbers have been rounded.

http://www.rollcall.com/pdfs/MarshallChart.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Marshall owes Obama a huge thank you if he pulls through. He'd probably be dead in the water if Obama wasn't at the top of the ticket. All he needs then is to survive 2010, and he'll likely be carved a fairly safe district so the ultra-Republican parts of his district can be used to create a new safe GOP seat.

Obama is actually doing worse than Gore in this district and about as well as Kerry.

He gets only 18% of Whites ...

[Tender Branson]

Marshall owes Obama a huge thank you if he pulls through. He'd probably be dead in the water if Obama wasn't at the top of the ticket. All he needs then is to survive 2010, and he'll likely be carved a fairly safe district so the ultra-Republican parts of his district can be used to create a new safe GOP seat.

Obama is actually doing worse than Gore in this district and about as well as Kerry.

He gets only 18% of Whites ...

That would've happened with any candidate. The important thing is that more blacks are voting with him.

I just read that the 8th was re-drawn in 2006, so comparisons with the 2004 and 2000 Presidential race are nonsense anyway. Does anyone know if more conservative parts were added in 2006, compared with the earlier makeup ?