Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,201
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
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« on: September 22, 2008, 11:51:41 PM » |
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FL and OH are probably not winnable.
MI is a state where Obama is favored.
VA is a pure toss-up.
I donīt know about PA. It`s certainly #1 on the Republican list and they already poured 10-15 Mio. $ in there. But I think in the end it'll be 2-5% for Obama. Remember that Rasmussen also underpolled Bob Casey in 2006 by 8% in Mid-September. In September 2004, Rasmussen showed a tie too.
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