Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama leads John McCain in North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District, where George W. Bush won 54% of the vote in both of his elections, according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling.
Obama has 43% to McCain’s 39%. Bob Barr is at 7%. Obama’s lead is coming from the two groups that were most important to his securing the Democratic nomination- black voters, among whom he polls at 83%, and voters under 30, with whom he leads 53-22.
“The Eight District is the kind of place Barack Obama needs to win to have any chance in North Carolina,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Ancestrally Democratic, it has tended to vote Republican in recent national elections. The way the vote goes there this fall will be a pretty strong bellwether for the state as a whole.”
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PPP surveyed 541 likely voters from July 2nd to July 5th. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 4.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce
additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CD8_708.pdf