CA: Public Policy Institute of CA: Obama defeats McCain by 17, Clinton by 12

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: California President by Public Policy Institute of CA on 2008-05-19

Summary: D: 51%, R: 39%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


Obama: 54%
McCain: 37%


Favorable Ratings:

Obama: 59% favorable, 36% unfavorable
Clinton: 46% favorable, 51% unfavorable
McCain: 42% favorable, 53% unfavorable

[Tender Branson]

The Hispanic numbers in this poll seem much more credible than the SurveyUSA numbers:

Obama: 69%
McCain: 20%

Clinton: 74%
McCain: 16%

Clinton also gets a higher favorability among Hispanics than Obama and McCain:

Clinton: 72% favorable, 24% unfavorable
Obama: 68% favorable, 25% unfavorable
McCain: 38% favorable, 53% unfavorable

[Tender Branson]

Oh my God. Do you honestly believe McCain will only get 20% of the Hispanic vote this year? You people continue to amaze me.

I said it looks more accurate than SurveyUSA's numbers, which showed McCain leading Obama among Hispanics. The truth is probably in between.

[Tender Branson]

Oh my God. Do you honestly believe McCain will only get 20% of the Hispanic vote this year? You people continue to amaze me.

I said it looks more accurate than SurveyUSA's numbers, which showed McCain leading Obama among Hispanics. The truth is probably in between.

That's your opinion and nothing more. SUSA showed  overall numbers that were inline with just about everyone else recently. This polling firm is questionable, and CA will not be a 17% blow out for Obama. He also won't get anywhere near 70% of the Hispanics. But, because it showed a Dem blowout, it's ruled more believable than the SUSA poll.

Gore won 78% of Hispanics, Kerry about 63%, Angelides (who lost by 17% statewide) won 56%, Feinstein won 71%. It´s not hard to refute SUSA's latest subsample. I think everything from 55% to 70% is possible for Obama. Rasmussen will also come out with a CA poll today, so we'll see what numbers actually make sense.