ME-Senate: Collins leads Allen by 20 (user search)
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  ME-Senate: Collins leads Allen by 20 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-Senate: Collins leads Allen by 20  (Read 2318 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,210
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: November 02, 2007, 03:21:54 PM »

PORTLAND - Sen. Susan Collins held a 20-point lead over Rep. Tom Allen in the 2008 Senate race, while candidates vying for Allen's congressional seat showed little success in distinguishing themselves in the minds of voters, according to a poll released Friday.

The Critical Insights poll, which touched on a range of topics of interest to business, government and the general public, found 54 percent support for Republican Collins and 34 percent for Democrat Allen. Twelve percent were either undecided, didn't know or refused to say.

The statewide survey was based on 408 telephone interviews with likely voters from Oct. 12 to Oct. 30. Its margin of error was 5 percentage points.

For the first time in two years, the poll found that Gov. John Baldacci's disapproval rating exceeded his approval rating, 47 percent to 44 percent.

http://news.mainetoday.com/updates/018078.html

AUGUSTA, Maine — Securing an advantage, Republican Sen. Susan Collins reported Monday she raised more than $1 million for her re-election campaign from July through September, bringing her total contributions to date to $3.6 million, with $3.1 million in cash on hand.

The campaign of Democratic challenger Tom Allen, the sixth-term congressman from Portland, reported receipts of $666,096 for the quarter, raising his total contributions for this election cycle to $2.2 million. Allen reported having $2.1 million on hand.

http://bangornews.com/news/t/news.aspx?articleid=155414&zoneid=500
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,210
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2007, 02:55:32 AM »

It´s hard to predict how this race will evolve. For the moment I´d give the advantage to Collins because she still enjoys high favorables and continues to outraise Allen. I think it will narrow down to about a 10% lead for Collins by Summer 2008. Keep in mind that Allen just spent 100.000$ of his 2.5 Mio. raised, while Collins already spent 500.000$.

Most likely result for now:

Collins: 54%
Allen: 46%
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