So, did other pollsters than Elway and you keep saying that. Zogby had Gregoire winning and so did Gallup overstate it. What I am saying is that Strategic Vision has consistently showed republicans more closer than what they really are and they have a conserv bias and I am not going by that poll.
As far as turnout, I Cook said today that democratic turnout will be better than what it was in 2004, most conserv are upset at the war. And you said we shouldn't go by Rasmussen poll, he predicted all the states right in 2004. So, I can go by his poll rather than Strategic Vision.
Democrats are indeed really concerned about the turnout this year according to the Washington Post:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/01/AR2006080101332.html