Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,199
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
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« on: December 08, 2017, 03:11:37 AM » |
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I think the polls here are a bit overstating support for gay marriage ...
I think if there were an actual referendum, it would pass with only 50-55% support (instead of polls showing it to pass with 60-75%).
I think that only 30% of ÖVP-voters and 20% of FPÖ-voters would vote in favour - compared with 85% of SPÖ/NEOS/Greens/Pilz/KPÖ-voters.
That would yield a 51-49 vote in favour.
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