GA-6 Special election discussion thread (user search)
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  GA-6 Special election discussion thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 256679 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: April 15, 2017, 03:06:15 AM »
My prediction:

44.9% Ossoff (D)
20.3% Handel (R)

Everyone else below 19%.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2017, 10:43:06 AM »
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on April 17, 2017, 11:58:23 PM
Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

That's the craziest bet since my Leicester vs. Atletico Madrid bet today.

I dropped 15€ for a Atletico first half lead, followed by a Leicester win at the end of the game.

Quota is 1:51. If I win, I get 750€.

Tongue

Anyway, good luck with your bet.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2017, 03:10:20 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 18, 2017, 10:43:06 AM
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on April 17, 2017, 11:58:23 PM
Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

That's the craziest bet since my Leicester vs. Atletico Madrid bet today.

I dropped 15€ for a Atletico first half lead, followed by a Leicester win at the end of the game.

Quota is 1:51. If I win, I get 750€.

Tongue

Anyway, good luck with your bet.

Pleaaaase 1 more goal for Leicester ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2017, 03:26:54 PM »
Its the 85th minute. Cmon Leicester !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2017, 03:40:56 PM »
Leicester vs. Atletico ends 1-1, after a Atletico first half lead.

Didn't win the 750€, maybe Mondale has more luck with Ossoff.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2017, 01:54:54 AM »
48% is really good for Ossoff, but a runoff-win for him is not a sure thing.

It also seems Landmark had the best poll, when you take into account the undecideds.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2017, 02:07:13 AM »
What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2017, 02:13:35 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 19, 2017, 02:09:04 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 19, 2017, 02:07:13 AM
What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?

Trump won by a point. So Ossoff didn't exactly run better than Hillary.

Interesting. I thought Hillary slightly won it.

If we combine all Republicans and Democrats, then the GOP won 51-49 yesterday (R+2).

Which is about the Trump vs. Hillary margin.

Still, I'd say that Ossoff has a shot at winning the runoff ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: June 05, 2017, 10:19:56 AM »
My prediction:

52.7% Ossoff (D)
47.3% Handel (R)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2017, 09:00:45 AM »
Ossoff will win with at least 52% of the vote. Maybe as high as 54-55%.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: June 13, 2017, 06:45:48 AM »
New SurveyUSA poll:

47% Ossoff (-4)
47% Handel (+3)

http://www.11alive.com/news/politics/elections/ballot/race-to-replace-tom-price-handel-and-ossoff-tied-with-one-week-to-go/448120182
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: June 13, 2017, 06:55:46 AM »

I think their previous poll was on the upper end of the MoE for Ossoff (+7) and this one on the lower end.

I still think he's up by somewhere between 1-5%.

This is also what the Landmark poll shows and they know how to poll this district (see first round).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2017, 02:34:43 AM »
Will there be early voting on the weekend and Monday, or does it end on Friday ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: June 20, 2017, 12:59:30 AM »
Please lock this thread and post in this one, the election day and results thread.

Also unsticky this one and sticky the other one.

Thx.
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