3rd party/Indie ballot access megathred (user search)
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  3rd party/Indie ballot access megathred (search mode)
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Author Topic: 3rd party/Indie ballot access megathred  (Read 6642 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: August 08, 2016, 01:48:47 PM »

Green Party signature coordinators across the country are reporting an influx of Bernie Sanders supporters to the Greens’ campaign. How far the new momentum will take the party in the 2016 election is yet to be seen. The first order of business is to get the Greens recognized on state ballots, or at least to get Jill Stein, the presumptive presidential nominee, recognized as an independent presidential candidate.

As of August 1

Several ballot access deadlines hit this week. In addition to the 24 states where Greens have party status, signature coordinators in Kansas, Nevada, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania have turned in enough signatures to get Jill Stein on their state’s ballot. South Dakota is the only state, with a deadline this week, that reported insufficient signatures. State coordinator, Jay Pond, said that though they missed the presidential ballot, they will be working hard on down ballot campaigns.

Deadlines Coming Up

States with deadlines by August 15 include Alabama, Alaska, Connecticut, and New Hampshire. Of these, only New Hampshire is in question. According to Tom Yager, the co-chair of the national Greens Ballot Access Committee, New Hampshire does not have an organized party, but Rick Lass, the ballot access coordinator for Stein, says they have people in New Hampshire, and have collected 2,000 of the 3,000 signatures needed.

Alaska had no party until a few months ago, when a defector from the Sanders campaign, Orren Wilkinson, moved into the Stein camp and started organizing. He said that an anonymous person, paid for by the Stein campaign, singlehandedly collected all of the 5,000 signatures needed to get Stein on the ballot. Wilkinson said that he is expecting more defectors from Sanders and the Democratic Party to join him this election season.

Alabama counted 4,600 of their required 5,000 signatures on August 1. Connecticut also confirmed that they have already met their signature requirements.

End of August

By August 31, 8 more states will hit their signature petition deadlines: Iowa, Idaho, Montana, Minnesota, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming. Of these, Greens are sure that they will have Stein on the ballot in Iowa, Minnesota, Tennessee, and Utah.

Idaho, Montana, and Virginia are extremely optimistic about their campaigns, and expect to have Stein on the ballot.

Wyoming is challenging, Yager said, because signature campaigns have a low validity rate. Lass says two seasoned Greens, and two Bernie defectors are leading a team of 25 volunteers to get Wyoming their 3,302 required signatures.

Tennessee only needs 275 signatures to get an independent candidate on the ballot. Despite this low requirement, Greens are challenging (and have been for several years) the “onerous requirement” of 40,000 signatures to get party status. Kate Culver, the Greens co-chair in Tennessee, said they don’t want their candidate listed as an independent, because independents are lumped together on the ballot, and their candidate loses ground from party recognition.

Culver remarked that the average acceptance rate for signature petitions is 70%. Collectors across the country aim to exceed signature requirements to be safe. Where totals are close to state requirements, the Greens may fall short due to invalid signatures. Such was the case in Nevada, where Greens turned in well over the 5,000 requirement, but did not gain access to the ballot, due to a high number of invalid signatures. Greens are currently challenging the invalidated signatures in Nevada.

Closing out the Ballot Campaign

The rest of the states in question, North Dakota, Rhode Island, and Kentucky, have until September 9 to finish their signature petitions. Rhode Island has already met its signature requirements.

North Dakota, a state with historically little Green organization, has 5 Sanders defectors working on behalf of Greens, according to Lass. Lass is confident that North Dakota will get their 4,000 required signatures by September 5.

Kentucky representatives are also confident that they will finish strongly, and get Stein on the ballot.

States That are Out

States that have not made it on the ballot include South Dakota (as mentioned earlier), Indiana, North Carolina, and Oklahoma.

Indiana and North Carolina are running write-in campaigns, but Oklahoma cannot. Yager says it is highly likely that Greens will join a lawsuit in Oklahoma to challenge ballot access laws.

According to Lass, Greens are reaping benefits from “the way that the DNC treated Bernie.” He said that people who were voting for the first time got frustrated with the behavior of the Democrats, “from Debbie Wasserman Shultz, to the Nevada Caucus,” and that the Greens were ready for the defectors.

“Greens have been building for years, with a similar message,” he said.

Rick Lass, and every other ballot coordinator contacted, without exception, remarked that there are many people coming into the Green Party from the Sanders campaign.

“At least 6 state coordinators are Berners,” Lass said. He said more are regional directors, and more still are coming in as volunteers.

Lass has been involved with the Greens since 1995, and says this year feels different to him.

“There is so much energy, ” he said. “People are excited about changing the system.”

The next goal for Greens, he said, after getting on the ballot in as many states as possible, is to get Jill Stein into the presidential debates. Lass believes that putting Stein on the stage with Clinton, Trump, and possibly Gary Johnson will open up the peoples’ eyes to the fact that there are choices outside the two-party system, and that there is justification for changing our electoral system to grant greater access to would-be candidates.

https://ivn.us/2016/08/02/jill-stein-ballot-access-gains
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2016, 01:50:11 PM »

So it seems that Stein only missed NC, OK, IN and SD so far and is on track to be on the ballot in almost all of the other states ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2016, 04:46:48 AM »

Johnson/Weld (L) are now on the ballot in 41 states + DC.

https://www.lp.org/2016-presidential-ballot-access-map

Stein/Baraka (G) are on the ballot in 31 states + DC. They have filed enough signatures in another 6 states so far and 7 states have deadlines coming in the next days/weeks.

In 6 states, they will definitely not be on the ballot (GA, NC, NV, IN, OK and SD).

http://www.jill2016.com/ballot_access

Castle/Bradley (C) are on the ballot in 23 states now, with a chance at another 7.

https://www.constitutionparty.com/get-involved/election-central/ballot-access
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: August 26, 2016, 01:48:31 PM »

Today is the deadline to submit 5.000 signatures for the VA ballot.

The VA Green Party submitted more than 11.000 signatures, of which ~70% will be found valid (based on recent signature checks in other states).

Smiley

Current map:

http://www.jill2016.com/ballot_access

Also, ID has officially announced that Stein is on the ballot.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: August 26, 2016, 01:54:41 PM »

On Idaho (which will have 2 candidates for the Constitution Party on the ballot):

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://ballot-access.org/2016/08/26/idaho-approves-all-four-independent-presidential-candidate-petitions
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: August 26, 2016, 01:58:33 PM »

Stein is now on the ballot in 37 states + DC.

7 states are pending.

6 states are without Stein on the ballot.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #6 on: August 26, 2016, 02:04:09 PM »

It's certainly likely that she will make it on the Virginia ballot, but she had a very high % of invalid signatures in Georgia, so it is certainly possible she will miss it.

In GA, they submitted 10.000 for 7.500 valid ones.

5.900 were found valid (=59%).

That would easily be enough for VA ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2016, 02:11:18 PM »

Add +12,000 votes.

That brings her total to...

(312,000)

Oh.

More like 60.000 this time ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2016, 02:14:06 PM »

It's good to know that voters will have a real choice for real change this year. Smiley

It's also good to know that Clinton although she appears as the likely winner of the electoral college (at least at this point in time) will not get a majority of the popular vote. Smiley

Yeah, something like 48% is what a terribly flawed candidate like her deserves in the national popular vote.

And Trump deserves to be held to 40%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2016, 12:14:44 AM »

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/mcmullin-collects-enough-support-for-virginia-ballot/article/2600327
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2016, 12:23:59 AM »

Of the remaining 7 states, VA/RI/CT all look like 99.9% sure to have Stein on the ballot.

WY/ND/KY and NH are still unsure (probably enough signatures collected, but the number of valid ones might/might not be enough).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2016, 09:16:41 AM »

Johnson/Weld are now on the ballot in 47 states + DC.

Only KY, CT and RI are still missing.

...

Stein/Baraka are now on the ballot in 40 states + DC.

4 states are still missing (WY, ND, RI and KY).

6 states will be Stein-less (NC, GA, OK, NV, IN, SD).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #12 on: September 04, 2016, 06:10:22 AM »

3.300 signatures were required for the WY ballot.

The Jill Stein campaign handed in 12.000 signatures, which is more than in GA.

That means it's 99.9% certain she'll be on the WY ballot as the Green candidate, the first time in the state party's 20-year history.

http://www.wyomingnews.com/news/hopeful-candidates-file-for-place-on-november-ballot/article_b63a45f2-6e71-11e6-8826-f39b00db9d72.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #13 on: September 04, 2016, 06:14:16 AM »

If those who signed a petition in WY would also turn out and vote for Stein in November, she'd get about 4.5-5% of the vote (out of 250.000 ballots cast).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2016, 01:52:09 PM »

All signature deadlines have passed now.

Stein/Baraka update:





Green = on the ballot (42 states + DC)
Red = filed more than enough signatures, probably on the ballot, waiting for confirmation (2)

Yellow = not on the ballot, but write-in access (3)
Grey = not on the ballot, no write-in access (3)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2016, 01:58:43 PM »

Johnson/Weld are now on the ballot in 49 states + DC.

Only RI remains to confirm who has made it on their ballot.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #16 on: September 07, 2016, 02:00:45 PM »

Stein has not qualified as a write-in candidate in GA, according to the Secretary of State's website at https://gvrs.sos.state.ga.us/GAElection/CandidateDetails.

They must have added her now. I checked their site just a few minutes ago and she has write-in access.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #17 on: September 07, 2016, 02:05:06 PM »

Is 44 states the best coverage for a Green candidate so far or did Nader do better in 2000 ?

Based on population, 89% of Americans have a chance to vote for Jill Stein (98% with write-in access states).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #18 on: September 09, 2016, 01:46:22 PM »

Final ballot access:

Johnson/Weld (L)Sad All 50 states + DC

Stein/Baraka (G)Sad 44 states + DC, 3 write-in states (GA, NC, IN), not on the ballot in NV, OK, SD
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